Stephen J. Haslett, Jarkko Isotalo, Augustyn Markiewicz, Simo Puntanen
{"title":"数据或误差协方差如何改变并保持blue及其协方差或误差平方和","authors":"Stephen J. Haslett, Jarkko Isotalo, Augustyn Markiewicz, Simo Puntanen","doi":"10.1111/anzs.70003","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Misspecification of the error covariance in linear models usually leads to incorrect inference and conclusions. We consider two linear models, <span></span><math>\n <semantics>\n <mrow>\n <mi>A</mi>\n </mrow>\n <annotation>$$ \\mathcal{A} $$</annotation>\n </semantics></math>\nand <span></span><math>\n <semantics>\n <mrow>\n <mi>B</mi>\n </mrow>\n <annotation>$$ \\mathcal{B} $$</annotation>\n </semantics></math>, with the same design matrix but different error covariance matrices. The conditions under which every representation of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of any estimable parametric vector under <span></span><math>\n <semantics>\n <mrow>\n <mi>A</mi>\n </mrow>\n <annotation>$$ \\mathcal{A} $$</annotation>\n </semantics></math> remains BLUE under <span></span><math>\n <semantics>\n <mrow>\n <mi>B</mi>\n </mrow>\n <annotation>$$ \\mathcal{B} $$</annotation>\n </semantics></math>\nhave been well known since C.R. Rao's paper in 1971: Unified theory of linear estimation, <i>Sankhyā Ser. A</i>, Vol. 33, pp. 371–394. However, there are no previously published results on retaining the weighted sum of squares of errors (SSE) for non-full-rank design or error covariance matrices, and the question of when the covariance matrix of the BLUEs is also retained has been partially explored only recently. For change in any specified error covariance matrix, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions (nasc) for both BLUEs and their covariance matrix to remain unaltered and to retain this property for all submodels. We also consider nasc for SSE to be unchanged. We decompose SSE under error covariance changes, and derive nasc under which error covariance change leaves hypothesis tests for fixed-effect deletion under normality unaltered. We also show that simultaneous retention of BLUEs and both their covariance and SSE is not possible. We outline the effects of weak and strong error covariance singularity. We provide applications (via data cloning) to maintaining data confidentiality in Official Statistics without using Confidentialised Unit Record Files (CURFs), to certain types of experimental design and to estimation of fixed parameters for linear models for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genetics.</p>","PeriodicalId":55428,"journal":{"name":"Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics","volume":"67 2","pages":"175-201"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/anzs.70003","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How data or error covariance can change and still retain BLUEs as well as their covariance or the sum of squares of errors\",\"authors\":\"Stephen J. Haslett, Jarkko Isotalo, Augustyn Markiewicz, Simo Puntanen\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/anzs.70003\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Misspecification of the error covariance in linear models usually leads to incorrect inference and conclusions. We consider two linear models, <span></span><math>\\n <semantics>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>A</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n <annotation>$$ \\\\mathcal{A} $$</annotation>\\n </semantics></math>\\nand <span></span><math>\\n <semantics>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>B</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n <annotation>$$ \\\\mathcal{B} $$</annotation>\\n </semantics></math>, with the same design matrix but different error covariance matrices. The conditions under which every representation of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of any estimable parametric vector under <span></span><math>\\n <semantics>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>A</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n <annotation>$$ \\\\mathcal{A} $$</annotation>\\n </semantics></math> remains BLUE under <span></span><math>\\n <semantics>\\n <mrow>\\n <mi>B</mi>\\n </mrow>\\n <annotation>$$ \\\\mathcal{B} $$</annotation>\\n </semantics></math>\\nhave been well known since C.R. Rao's paper in 1971: Unified theory of linear estimation, <i>Sankhyā Ser. A</i>, Vol. 33, pp. 371–394. However, there are no previously published results on retaining the weighted sum of squares of errors (SSE) for non-full-rank design or error covariance matrices, and the question of when the covariance matrix of the BLUEs is also retained has been partially explored only recently. For change in any specified error covariance matrix, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions (nasc) for both BLUEs and their covariance matrix to remain unaltered and to retain this property for all submodels. We also consider nasc for SSE to be unchanged. We decompose SSE under error covariance changes, and derive nasc under which error covariance change leaves hypothesis tests for fixed-effect deletion under normality unaltered. We also show that simultaneous retention of BLUEs and both their covariance and SSE is not possible. We outline the effects of weak and strong error covariance singularity. 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How data or error covariance can change and still retain BLUEs as well as their covariance or the sum of squares of errors
Misspecification of the error covariance in linear models usually leads to incorrect inference and conclusions. We consider two linear models,
and , with the same design matrix but different error covariance matrices. The conditions under which every representation of the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) of any estimable parametric vector under remains BLUE under
have been well known since C.R. Rao's paper in 1971: Unified theory of linear estimation, Sankhyā Ser. A, Vol. 33, pp. 371–394. However, there are no previously published results on retaining the weighted sum of squares of errors (SSE) for non-full-rank design or error covariance matrices, and the question of when the covariance matrix of the BLUEs is also retained has been partially explored only recently. For change in any specified error covariance matrix, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions (nasc) for both BLUEs and their covariance matrix to remain unaltered and to retain this property for all submodels. We also consider nasc for SSE to be unchanged. We decompose SSE under error covariance changes, and derive nasc under which error covariance change leaves hypothesis tests for fixed-effect deletion under normality unaltered. We also show that simultaneous retention of BLUEs and both their covariance and SSE is not possible. We outline the effects of weak and strong error covariance singularity. We provide applications (via data cloning) to maintaining data confidentiality in Official Statistics without using Confidentialised Unit Record Files (CURFs), to certain types of experimental design and to estimation of fixed parameters for linear models for single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genetics.
期刊介绍:
The Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics is an international journal managed jointly by the Statistical Society of Australia and the New Zealand Statistical Association. Its purpose is to report significant and novel contributions in statistics, ranging across articles on statistical theory, methodology, applications and computing. The journal has a particular focus on statistical techniques that can be readily applied to real-world problems, and on application papers with an Australasian emphasis. Outstanding articles submitted to the journal may be selected as Discussion Papers, to be read at a meeting of either the Statistical Society of Australia or the New Zealand Statistical Association.
The main body of the journal is divided into three sections.
The Theory and Methods Section publishes papers containing original contributions to the theory and methodology of statistics, econometrics and probability, and seeks papers motivated by a real problem and which demonstrate the proposed theory or methodology in that situation. There is a strong preference for papers motivated by, and illustrated with, real data.
The Applications Section publishes papers demonstrating applications of statistical techniques to problems faced by users of statistics in the sciences, government and industry. A particular focus is the application of newly developed statistical methodology to real data and the demonstration of better use of established statistical methodology in an area of application. It seeks to aid teachers of statistics by placing statistical methods in context.
The Statistical Computing Section publishes papers containing new algorithms, code snippets, or software descriptions (for open source software only) which enhance the field through the application of computing. Preference is given to papers featuring publically available code and/or data, and to those motivated by statistical methods for practical problems.