温度变化对中国供应链弹性的影响：机制与洞察

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE

Finance Research Letters Pub Date : 2025-07-08 DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2025.107866

Lian-Xing Yang, Yin-Ting Zhang, Mo-Lei Chen

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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球气候变化加剧，极端温度挑战着供应链的弹性。本文利用中国2016-2020年企业税数据和县级气温数据，构建了基于阻力和恢复能力的弹性指数。研究结果揭示了非线性效应：适度变暖增强了弹性，而极端温度通过破坏生产、降低效率和破坏供需匹配而削弱了弹性。北方、上游和国有企业更加脆弱。这些发现为有针对性的适应战略提供了见解，以增强抵御能力和确保经济稳定。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Impact of temperature variability on supply chain resilience in China: Mechanisms and insights

With global climate change intensifying, extreme temperatures challenge supply chain resilience. Using China’s 2016–2020 enterprise tax data and county-level temperature data, this study constructs a resilience index based on resistance and recovery capacity. Results reveal a nonlinear effect: moderate warming enhances resilience, while extreme temperatures weaken it by disrupting production, lowering efficiency, and destabilizing supply–demand matching. Northern, upstream, and state-owned enterprises are more vulnerable. These findings offer insights for targeted adaptation strategies to enhance resilience and ensure economic stability.

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来源期刊

Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-

CiteScore

11.10

自引率

14.40%

发文量

863

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