2001-2019年新南威尔士州儿童约束立法和伤害率:分析医院管理数据。

Chen-Chun Ellie Shu, Holger Moeller, Tom Whyte, Lynne E Bilston, Susan Adams, Natasha Nassar, Rebecca Q Ivers, Jake Olivier, Julie Brown
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:2010年3月,澳大利亚新南威尔士州(NSW)出台了一项立法,要求7岁以下的儿童乘客佩戴与年龄相适应的约束装置。本研究旨在利用相关的医院和死亡数据评估其对儿童伤害率的影响。方法:使用随机效应准泊松回归的中断时间序列分析了2001年7月至2019年3月期间澳大利亚新南威尔士州(NSW)儿童乘客(0-14岁)入院的受伤率。医院行政数据分为立法前、立法后和立法后三个阶段,立法期为2007年11月至2011年12月,有6个月的适应和执行宽限期。结果:14岁以下儿童立法后损伤发生率较立法前明显降低。直接受立法影响的儿童(1-6岁,发病率比(IRR)=0.67, 95% CI: 0.57 ~ 0.79)的平均伤害率降低33%,7-10岁儿童(IRR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.65 ~ 0.85)的平均伤害率降低25%,11-14岁儿童(IRR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.68 ~ 0.94)的平均伤害率降低20%。与11-14岁的儿童相比,其他年龄组的受伤率有所下降,尽管这些估计存在很大的不确定性。结论:研究结果表明,在立法规定适合年龄的限制长达7岁后,儿童乘客受伤的减少。然而,在年龄较大的儿童中也有类似的减少,并且使用年龄最大的儿童作为对照的估计存在很大的不确定性,限制了将这种影响完全归因于立法。结合观察性研究显示,12岁以下儿童使用约束装置的情况有所增加,结果表明,澳大利亚新南威尔士州的儿童乘客安全总体上在立法后有所改善。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Child restraint legislation and injury rate NSW 2001-2019: analysing hospital administration data.

Background: In March 2010, New South Wales (NSW), Australia, introduced legislation mandating age-appropriate restraints for child passengers up to 7 years. This study aims to evaluate its impact on child injury rates using linked hospital and death data.

Methods: An interrupted time series using random effects quasi-Poisson regression analysed hospital-admitted injury rates in child passengers (0-14 years) in NSW, Australia, from July 2001 to March 2019. Hospital administration data were divided into prelegislation, legislation and postlegislation periods, with the legislative period spanning November 2007 to December 2011, accounting for a 6-month adaptation and enforcement grace period.

Results: Injury rates in children under 14 were reduced postlegislation compared with prelegislation. The average injury rate was 33% lower for children directly affected by the legislation (aged 1-6 years, incidence rate ratio (IRR)=0.67, 95% CI: 0.57 to 0.79), 25% lower for children aged 7-10 years (IRR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.65 to 0.85) and 20% lower for children aged 11-14 years (IRR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.68 to 0.94). Compared with children aged 11-14, the injury rate for other age groups decreased, though with large uncertainty in these estimates.

Conclusions: The findings suggest a decrease in injuries among child passengers following legislation mandating age-appropriate restraints up to 7 years. However, similar reductions among older children and substantial uncertainty in estimates using the oldest children as controls limit attribution of the effect solely to the legislation. Combined with observational studies showing increased restraint use among children under 12 years old, the results indicate an overall postlegislation improvement in child passenger safety in NSW, Australia.

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