{"title":"与抗疟药和杀虫剂耐药性有关的疟疾传播的数学建模和最优控制。","authors":"Gasper G Mwanga","doi":"10.1080/17513758.2025.2522345","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study presents a mathematical model to explore malaria transmission dynamics in the presence of antimalarial drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes. The analytical findings demonstrate a stable disease-free equilibrium when the effective reproduction number is below one. For single-strain malaria infections, the endemic equilibrium may exhibit one, two or no solutions. The model is extended to incorporate three time-dependent controls: long-lasting insecticidal nets, antimalarial treatment and mosquito adulticides. Simulation results indicate that interventions excluding drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes are ineffective. The most effective strategies combine insecticides targeting all vectors with treatments for all malaria cases, regardless of resistance. Efficiency analysis suggests implementing all three controls at <math><mo>≥</mo><mn>80</mn><mi>%</mi></math> efficacy for the maximum impact, while assessments of cost-effectiveness highlight the combination of long-lasting insecticidal nets and antimalarial treatment as a practical option in resource-constrained settings. Nonetheless, integrating all three measures is recommended for substantial malaria transmission reduction.</p>","PeriodicalId":48809,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","volume":"19 1","pages":"2522345"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Mathematical modelling and optimal control of malaria transmission with antimalarial drug and insecticide resistance.\",\"authors\":\"Gasper G Mwanga\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/17513758.2025.2522345\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>This study presents a mathematical model to explore malaria transmission dynamics in the presence of antimalarial drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes. The analytical findings demonstrate a stable disease-free equilibrium when the effective reproduction number is below one. For single-strain malaria infections, the endemic equilibrium may exhibit one, two or no solutions. The model is extended to incorporate three time-dependent controls: long-lasting insecticidal nets, antimalarial treatment and mosquito adulticides. Simulation results indicate that interventions excluding drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes are ineffective. The most effective strategies combine insecticides targeting all vectors with treatments for all malaria cases, regardless of resistance. Efficiency analysis suggests implementing all three controls at <math><mo>≥</mo><mn>80</mn><mi>%</mi></math> efficacy for the maximum impact, while assessments of cost-effectiveness highlight the combination of long-lasting insecticidal nets and antimalarial treatment as a practical option in resource-constrained settings. Nonetheless, integrating all three measures is recommended for substantial malaria transmission reduction.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48809,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Biological Dynamics\",\"volume\":\"19 1\",\"pages\":\"2522345\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Biological Dynamics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"99\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2025.2522345\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/6/24 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Biological Dynamics","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2025.2522345","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/6/24 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Mathematical modelling and optimal control of malaria transmission with antimalarial drug and insecticide resistance.
This study presents a mathematical model to explore malaria transmission dynamics in the presence of antimalarial drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes. The analytical findings demonstrate a stable disease-free equilibrium when the effective reproduction number is below one. For single-strain malaria infections, the endemic equilibrium may exhibit one, two or no solutions. The model is extended to incorporate three time-dependent controls: long-lasting insecticidal nets, antimalarial treatment and mosquito adulticides. Simulation results indicate that interventions excluding drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes are ineffective. The most effective strategies combine insecticides targeting all vectors with treatments for all malaria cases, regardless of resistance. Efficiency analysis suggests implementing all three controls at efficacy for the maximum impact, while assessments of cost-effectiveness highlight the combination of long-lasting insecticidal nets and antimalarial treatment as a practical option in resource-constrained settings. Nonetheless, integrating all three measures is recommended for substantial malaria transmission reduction.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Biological Dynamics, an open access journal, publishes state of the art papers dealing with the analysis of dynamic models that arise from biological processes. The Journal focuses on dynamic phenomena at scales ranging from the level of individual organisms to that of populations, communities, and ecosystems in the fields of ecology and evolutionary biology, population dynamics, epidemiology, immunology, neuroscience, environmental science, and animal behavior. Papers in other areas are acceptable at the editors’ discretion. In addition to papers that analyze original mathematical models and develop new theories and analytic methods, the Journal welcomes papers that connect mathematical modeling and analysis to experimental and observational data. The Journal also publishes short notes, expository and review articles, book reviews and a section on open problems.