基于人工神经网络和支持向量机的地下采矿成本估算:一个承包商的观点

IF 4.9
Juan Camilo García Vásquez, Mustafa Kumral
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的成本估算是地下开采项目有效决策和评价的关键。机器学习技术在提高各行业成本估算准确性方面显示出巨大的潜力。本研究利用人工神经网络(ANN)和支持向量机(SVM)来估算地下采矿的运营成本。特别强调从承包商的角度进行成本估算。采矿承包商对估算费用的偏差很敏感,因为轻微的偏差可能导致失去合同投标或中标项目的财务损失。建议的方法可以帮助承包商做出更明智的决定,并改善项目管理。收集了影响地下采矿工程成本的设备类型利用率、岩石类型、截面积等参数的综合数据。该数据集用于训练和评估ANN和SVM模型,为地下采矿项目提供更准确的成本估算。最佳模型的平均百分比误差(MAPE)为5.31%,ANN模型为3.05%,优于传统的成本估计方法。本研究展示了机器学习在提高成本估算过程性能方面的潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Artificial neural networks and support vector machines for more accurate cost estimation in underground mining: A contractor's viewpoint
Accurate cost estimation is crucial in effective decision-making and evaluation in underground mining projects. Machine learning techniques have shown enormous potential in enhancing cost estimation accuracy in various industries. This study harnesses artificial neural networks (ANN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) to estimate operating costs in underground mining. Special emphasis is placed on cost estimation from a contractor’s perspective. Mining contractors are sensitive to deviations from the estimated costs because slight deviations may result in losing a contract bid or financial loss in an awarded project. The proposed approach can help contractors make more informed decisions and improve project management. Comprehensive data containing various parameters that impact the cost of underground mining projects, such as equipment type utilization, rock type, and cross-sectional area, were collected. This dataset was used to train and evaluate ANN and SVM models that provide more accurate cost estimation for underground mining projects. The best model achieved a mean average percentage error (MAPE) of 5.31 % for the ANN model and 3.05 % for the SVM model, outperforming traditional cost estimation methods. This study demonstrates the potential of machine learning in enhancing the performance of the cost estimation process.
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来源期刊
Machine learning with applications
Machine learning with applications Management Science and Operations Research, Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science Applications
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