{"title":"存款人预期在银行风险中的作用:双通道视角","authors":"Guangyu Hu , Yu Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107770","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper focuses on analyzing the impact of depositors' expectations on banks' risk and its channels of action. Analyzing data from 298 Chinese banks and survey data from the People's Bank of China, we find that favorable depositors’ expectations correlate with reduced bank risk. Analysis of the quantity and price channels shows that favorable depositors’ expectations increase the volume and reduce the cost of the banks' funding sources, consequently lowering bank risk. These insights underscore the importance of incorporating depositors’ expectations into bank risk management strategies and macro-prudential regulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"84 ","pages":"Article 107770"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The role of depositors’ expectations in bank risk: a dual-channel perspective\",\"authors\":\"Guangyu Hu , Yu Shen\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107770\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper focuses on analyzing the impact of depositors' expectations on banks' risk and its channels of action. Analyzing data from 298 Chinese banks and survey data from the People's Bank of China, we find that favorable depositors’ expectations correlate with reduced bank risk. Analysis of the quantity and price channels shows that favorable depositors’ expectations increase the volume and reduce the cost of the banks' funding sources, consequently lowering bank risk. These insights underscore the importance of incorporating depositors’ expectations into bank risk management strategies and macro-prudential regulation.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":12167,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"volume\":\"84 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107770\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-06-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325010281\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325010281","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The role of depositors’ expectations in bank risk: a dual-channel perspective
This paper focuses on analyzing the impact of depositors' expectations on banks' risk and its channels of action. Analyzing data from 298 Chinese banks and survey data from the People's Bank of China, we find that favorable depositors’ expectations correlate with reduced bank risk. Analysis of the quantity and price channels shows that favorable depositors’ expectations increase the volume and reduce the cost of the banks' funding sources, consequently lowering bank risk. These insights underscore the importance of incorporating depositors’ expectations into bank risk management strategies and macro-prudential regulation.
期刊介绍:
Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies.
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