交通基础设施对发展中国家贫困、收入不平等和失业的影响:对可持续发展目标的评估

Manel Ouni , Rafaa Mraihi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2030年可持续发展目标议程将消除贫困、减少收入不平等、实现所有人充分和生产性就业作为优先事项。然而,运输基础设施不足仍然是实现这些目标的主要障碍,因为它阻碍了城乡地区之间货物和人员的流动,限制了获得经济和就业机会的机会。本研究考察了交通基础设施在2000年至2023年期间在49个发展中国家减轻贫困、缩小收入差距和遏制失业方面的潜力。使用两阶段工具变量广义矩量法,我们的研究结果表明,公路和铁路基础设施对发展中国家的扶贫做出了显著贡献,而航空货运则与更高的贫困水平相关。在收入不平等方面,公路、铁路和港口连通性的改善与不平等程度的降低有关,而港口交通和航空货运似乎没有显著影响。所有类型的交通基础设施都能有效地减少失业。我们的研究结果强调了经济增长、贸易开放和国内投资在通过减少不平等和贫困促进包容性增长中的作用。相反,人力资本减少了贫困和失业,但加剧了不平等。区域分析显示,结果因地区而异,包括撒哈拉以南非洲、中东和;北非、东亚和太平洋、南亚以及拉丁美洲和加勒比国家。这些发现对于另一种计量经济学技术来说是可靠的。这些见解为发展中国家根据千年发展目标实现可持续发展目标1、8和10提供了一些重要的政策启示。因此,加强交通基础设施成为促进不同地区惊人包容性增长的一项关键战略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of transport infrastructure on poverty, income inequality, and unemployment in developing countries: An assessment of sustainable development goals
The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development Goals prioritizes the elimination of poverty, reduction of income inequality, and achievement of full and productive employment for all. However, inadequate transport infrastructure remains a key barrier to these goals, as it hampers the movement of goods and people between urban and rural areas, limiting access to economic and employment opportunities. This study examines the potential of transport infrastructure in alleviating poverty, reducing income disparities, and curbing unemployment in a panel of 49 developing countries from 2000 to 2023. Using a two-stage Instrumental Variable Generalized Method of Moments approach, our findings reveals that road and rail infrastructure significantly contribute to poverty alleviation in developing countries, while air freight is associated with higher poverty levels. Regarding income inequality, improvements in road, rail, and port connectivity are associated to reduced inequality, while port traffic and air freight appear to have no significant effect. All types of transport infrastructure are effective in reducing unemployment. Our results emphasize the role of economic growth, trade openness, and domestic investment in promoting inclusive growth through inequality and poverty reduction. In contrast, human capital reduces poverty and unemployment but worsens inequality. Regional analysis revealed that the results varies across regions, including Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East & North Africa, East Asia and the Pacific, South Asia, and Latin America-Caribbean countries. These findings are robust to an alternative econometric technique. These insights offer some important policy implications for developing countries aiming to achieve SDGs 1, 8, and 10 in alignment with the Millennium Development Goals. Therefore, reinforcing transport infrastructure emerges as a key strategy to promote spectacular inclusive growth across diverse regional contexts.
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