{"title":"时变长记忆序列的局部Whittle估计","authors":"Josu Arteche, Luis F. Martins","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12782","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The memory parameter is usually assumed to be constant in traditional long memory time series. We relax this restriction by considering the memory a time-varying function that depends on a finite number of parameters. A time-varying Local Whittle estimator of these parameters, and hence of the memory function, is proposed. Its consistency and asymptotic normality are shown for locally stationary and locally non-stationary long memory processes, where the spectral behaviour is restricted only at frequencies close to the origin. Its good finite sample performance is shown in a Monte Carlo exercise and in two empirical applications, highlighting its benefits over the fully parametric Whittle estimator proposed by Palma and Olea (2010). Standard inference techniques for the constancy of the memory are also proposed based on this estimator.</p>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":"46 4","pages":"647-673"},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jtsa.12782","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Local Whittle estimation in time-varying long memory series\",\"authors\":\"Josu Arteche, Luis F. Martins\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jtsa.12782\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>The memory parameter is usually assumed to be constant in traditional long memory time series. We relax this restriction by considering the memory a time-varying function that depends on a finite number of parameters. A time-varying Local Whittle estimator of these parameters, and hence of the memory function, is proposed. Its consistency and asymptotic normality are shown for locally stationary and locally non-stationary long memory processes, where the spectral behaviour is restricted only at frequencies close to the origin. Its good finite sample performance is shown in a Monte Carlo exercise and in two empirical applications, highlighting its benefits over the fully parametric Whittle estimator proposed by Palma and Olea (2010). Standard inference techniques for the constancy of the memory are also proposed based on this estimator.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49973,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"volume\":\"46 4\",\"pages\":\"647-673\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jtsa.12782\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Time Series Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12782\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12782","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Local Whittle estimation in time-varying long memory series
The memory parameter is usually assumed to be constant in traditional long memory time series. We relax this restriction by considering the memory a time-varying function that depends on a finite number of parameters. A time-varying Local Whittle estimator of these parameters, and hence of the memory function, is proposed. Its consistency and asymptotic normality are shown for locally stationary and locally non-stationary long memory processes, where the spectral behaviour is restricted only at frequencies close to the origin. Its good finite sample performance is shown in a Monte Carlo exercise and in two empirical applications, highlighting its benefits over the fully parametric Whittle estimator proposed by Palma and Olea (2010). Standard inference techniques for the constancy of the memory are also proposed based on this estimator.
期刊介绍:
During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering.
The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.