Natural hazard induced coastal vulnerability in Indian Sundarbans: A village-level study by using geospatial and statistical techniques

The Sundarbans, an area with a history dating back to the dawn of civilization, has faced numerous environmental hazards that have remarkably affected the lives and livelihoods of its natives. Strom surge and Tropical cyclones are the most substantial natural hazards, causing severe damage to local communities by affecting food security, the economy, shelter and health. By defining vulnerability as a function of exposure, sensitivity, and resilience capacity, we calculated a composite vulnerability index (CVI) using equal weight method (EWM) to assess the vulnerability of mouzas (small administrative units) to natural hazards in the Sundarbans, India. The vulnerability map has been drawn based on composite value of CVI which shows 30.50% of villages falling into the high vulnerability category and 12.06% in the very high vulnerability category. The mouza-level analysis also indicates that 22.62% of Sundarbans's villages are highly exposed to natural hazards and 19.70 % of villages are classified as being at Very high sensitive. Only 7.07% villages have very high adopted capacity against these natural hazards. Villages in the southern parts and along the coast were found to be more vulnerable to storm surges. Conversely, those situated at higher elevations in the central area exhibited lower vulnerability. In the northern part of the region, several villages faced high to very high vulnerability due to low-lying, waterlogged wetlands. This study offers vital insights for decision-makers, government planners, and disaster management professionals, assisting in the identification of high-risk populations and areas that require immediate preservation efforts.