考虑不确定成本和调整策略的动态交互鲁棒共识达成框架

IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Jinpeng Wei , Xuanhua Xu , Qiuhan Wang , Xiaoxia Xu , Chengwei Zhao , Francisco Javier Cabrerizo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

共识优化模型往往难以协调专家意见和成本的不断更新,容易陷入暂时共识的幻觉。此外,准确估计意见调整的程度和单位调整成本具有挑战性,对达成共识构成障碍。在最大专家共识模型(MECM)的基础上,引入了一个考虑不确定成本和调整策略的动态交互鲁棒共识达成框架。首先,我们构建了三个不确定集来描述不确定成本,然后将其用于建立稳健的共识模型。同时,我们提出了一种动态调整策略,将模型中最优的调整意见作为参考信息,客观地指示专家意见调整的方向和幅度以及主持人提供的成本补偿。这种方法有助于客观地指出专家意见调整的方向和幅度。本研究将识别和方向规则(IR-DR)的互补优势与基于优化的规则(OR)相结合,旨在动态促进不确定条件下所有专家的共识。最后,我们设计了一种改进的遗传算法(GA)来处理鲁棒模型,并通过案例研究和比较分析验证了所提出的共识框架的性能。结果揭示了专家如何通过动态策略加速达成共识。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Dynamic interactive robust consensus reaching framework for maximum experts considering uncertain cost and adjustment strategy
Consensus optimization models often struggle to coordinate continuous updates of expert opinions and costs, easily falling into the illusion of temporary consensus. Moreover, accurately estimating the extent of opinion adjustments and unit adjustment costs is challenging, posing obstacles to reaching consensus. Based on the maximum expert consensus model (MECM), this study introduces a dynamic interactive robust consensus-reaching framework that considers uncertain costs and adjustment strategies. First, we construct three uncertainty sets to describe uncertain costs, which are then used to develop the robust consensus models. Simultaneously, we propose a dynamic adjustment strategy that uses the optimal adjustment opinions from the model as reference information, objectively indicating the direction and magnitude of expert opinion adjustments and the cost compensation provided by the moderator. This approach helps objectively indicate the direction and magnitude of expert opinion adjustments. This study combines the complementary strengths of identification and direction rule (IR-DR) along with optimization-based rule (OR), aiming to dynamically facilitate consensus among all experts under uncertain conditions. Finally, we design an improved genetic algorithm (GA) to handle the robust models and validate the performance of the proposed consensus framework through case studies and comparative analyses. Results reveal how experts can accelerate consensus through dynamic strategies.
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来源期刊
Expert Systems with Applications
Expert Systems with Applications 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
13.80
自引率
10.60%
发文量
2045
审稿时长
8.7 months
期刊介绍: Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.
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