Cassandra A. Stanton Ph.D. , Zhiqun Tang Ph.D. , Eva Sharma Ph.D. , Anikah H. Salim Dr.P.H. , MeLisa R. Creamer Ph.D. , Andrea L. Ruybal Ph.D. , Daniela Marshall Ph.D. , Ibrahim Zaganjor Ph.D. , Marushka L. Silveira Ph.D. , Derick L. Rivers Ph.D. , Babita Das Ph.D. , Charles Deljohn Carr Pharm.D., M.P.H. , Janine C. Delahanty Ph.D. , Jia Wang M.P.H. , Heather L. Kimmel Ph.D. , Wilson M. Compton M.D. , Andrew J. Hyland Ph.D. , Jennifer L. Pearson Ph.D.
{"title":"烟草与健康人口评估(PATH)研究中从青春期前到青春期后期(2013-2020)电子烟和卷烟使用轨迹类别的时间特异性预测因子","authors":"Cassandra A. Stanton Ph.D. , Zhiqun Tang Ph.D. , Eva Sharma Ph.D. , Anikah H. Salim Dr.P.H. , MeLisa R. Creamer Ph.D. , Andrea L. Ruybal Ph.D. , Daniela Marshall Ph.D. , Ibrahim Zaganjor Ph.D. , Marushka L. Silveira Ph.D. , Derick L. Rivers Ph.D. , Babita Das Ph.D. , Charles Deljohn Carr Pharm.D., M.P.H. , Janine C. Delahanty Ph.D. , Jia Wang M.P.H. , Heather L. Kimmel Ph.D. , Wilson M. Compton M.D. , Andrew J. Hyland Ph.D. , Jennifer L. Pearson Ph.D.","doi":"10.1016/j.jadohealth.2025.03.010","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>In the US, youth e-cigarette use is more prevalent than cigarette use. Among younger adolescents in US middle schools, use of any nicotine/tobacco product is on the rise. Different factors may drive transitions from susceptibility to initiation, and less is known about early adolescent transitions.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Data were drawn from US early adolescents (aged 12–13 years) at Wave (W) 1 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study across 7 waves (2013–2020) into older adolescents (aged 18–19 years). Unweighted longitudinal latent class analyses identified trajectory classes of e-cigarette and cigarette susceptibility and use in separate models. Weighted multinomial logistic regression analyses examined time-specific predictors of divergent trajectories.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Five e-cigarette classes (weighted 45.1% <em>Never Use</em>, 15.4% <em>Susceptible</em>, 6.9<em>% Initiated only</em>, 19.9% <em>W5 Progressed/discontinued</em>, and 12.7% <em>Progressed/persisted</em>) and 4 cigarette classes (weighted 61.2% <em>Never Use,</em> 21.3% <em>Susceptible</em>, 10.6% W4.5 <em>Progressed/discontinued,</em> and 6.9% <em>Former Use</em>) were identified. In 2020 (the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic), discontinued use of both products was observed. Only the e-cigarette model identified a class with persistent use through 2020. Daily social media use and advertising exposure were specifically important to susceptibility and initiation of e-cigarettes among younger adolescents. Best friend use, low perceptions of product harm, and substance use problems showed strong associations with trajectories of e-cigarettes and cigarettes.</div></div><div><h3>Discussion</h3><div>Trajectories for both products revealed a period of susceptibility before use that may be particularly amenable to early intervention. It is important to monitor daily social media use and advertising exposure to prevent e-cigarette susceptibility and initiation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":56278,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Adolescent Health","volume":"77 1","pages":"Pages 151-158"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Time-Specific Predictors of E-Cigarette and Cigarette Use Trajectory Classes From Preadolescence to Late Adolescence (2013–2020) of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study\",\"authors\":\"Cassandra A. Stanton Ph.D. , Zhiqun Tang Ph.D. , Eva Sharma Ph.D. , Anikah H. Salim Dr.P.H. , MeLisa R. Creamer Ph.D. , Andrea L. Ruybal Ph.D. , Daniela Marshall Ph.D. , Ibrahim Zaganjor Ph.D. , Marushka L. Silveira Ph.D. , Derick L. Rivers Ph.D. , Babita Das Ph.D. , Charles Deljohn Carr Pharm.D., M.P.H. , Janine C. Delahanty Ph.D. , Jia Wang M.P.H. , Heather L. Kimmel Ph.D. , Wilson M. Compton M.D. , Andrew J. Hyland Ph.D. , Jennifer L. Pearson Ph.D.\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jadohealth.2025.03.010\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>In the US, youth e-cigarette use is more prevalent than cigarette use. Among younger adolescents in US middle schools, use of any nicotine/tobacco product is on the rise. Different factors may drive transitions from susceptibility to initiation, and less is known about early adolescent transitions.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Data were drawn from US early adolescents (aged 12–13 years) at Wave (W) 1 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study across 7 waves (2013–2020) into older adolescents (aged 18–19 years). Unweighted longitudinal latent class analyses identified trajectory classes of e-cigarette and cigarette susceptibility and use in separate models. Weighted multinomial logistic regression analyses examined time-specific predictors of divergent trajectories.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Five e-cigarette classes (weighted 45.1% <em>Never Use</em>, 15.4% <em>Susceptible</em>, 6.9<em>% Initiated only</em>, 19.9% <em>W5 Progressed/discontinued</em>, and 12.7% <em>Progressed/persisted</em>) and 4 cigarette classes (weighted 61.2% <em>Never Use,</em> 21.3% <em>Susceptible</em>, 10.6% W4.5 <em>Progressed/discontinued,</em> and 6.9% <em>Former Use</em>) were identified. In 2020 (the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic), discontinued use of both products was observed. Only the e-cigarette model identified a class with persistent use through 2020. Daily social media use and advertising exposure were specifically important to susceptibility and initiation of e-cigarettes among younger adolescents. Best friend use, low perceptions of product harm, and substance use problems showed strong associations with trajectories of e-cigarettes and cigarettes.</div></div><div><h3>Discussion</h3><div>Trajectories for both products revealed a period of susceptibility before use that may be particularly amenable to early intervention. It is important to monitor daily social media use and advertising exposure to prevent e-cigarette susceptibility and initiation.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":56278,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Adolescent Health\",\"volume\":\"77 1\",\"pages\":\"Pages 151-158\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Adolescent Health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1054139X25001168\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"PEDIATRICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Adolescent Health","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1054139X25001168","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PEDIATRICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Time-Specific Predictors of E-Cigarette and Cigarette Use Trajectory Classes From Preadolescence to Late Adolescence (2013–2020) of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study
Purpose
In the US, youth e-cigarette use is more prevalent than cigarette use. Among younger adolescents in US middle schools, use of any nicotine/tobacco product is on the rise. Different factors may drive transitions from susceptibility to initiation, and less is known about early adolescent transitions.
Methods
Data were drawn from US early adolescents (aged 12–13 years) at Wave (W) 1 of the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) Study across 7 waves (2013–2020) into older adolescents (aged 18–19 years). Unweighted longitudinal latent class analyses identified trajectory classes of e-cigarette and cigarette susceptibility and use in separate models. Weighted multinomial logistic regression analyses examined time-specific predictors of divergent trajectories.
Results
Five e-cigarette classes (weighted 45.1% Never Use, 15.4% Susceptible, 6.9% Initiated only, 19.9% W5 Progressed/discontinued, and 12.7% Progressed/persisted) and 4 cigarette classes (weighted 61.2% Never Use, 21.3% Susceptible, 10.6% W4.5 Progressed/discontinued, and 6.9% Former Use) were identified. In 2020 (the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic), discontinued use of both products was observed. Only the e-cigarette model identified a class with persistent use through 2020. Daily social media use and advertising exposure were specifically important to susceptibility and initiation of e-cigarettes among younger adolescents. Best friend use, low perceptions of product harm, and substance use problems showed strong associations with trajectories of e-cigarettes and cigarettes.
Discussion
Trajectories for both products revealed a period of susceptibility before use that may be particularly amenable to early intervention. It is important to monitor daily social media use and advertising exposure to prevent e-cigarette susceptibility and initiation.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Adolescent Health is a scientific publication dedicated to enhancing the health and well-being of adolescents and young adults. Our Journal covers a broad range of research topics, spanning from the basic biological and behavioral sciences to public health and policy. We welcome a variety of contributions, including original research papers, concise reports, literature reviews, clinical case reports, opinion pieces, and letters to the editor. We encourage professionals from diverse disciplines such as Anthropology, Education, Ethics, Global Health, Health Services Research, Law, Medicine, Mental and Behavioral Health, Nursing, Nutrition, Psychology, Public Health and Policy, Social Work, Sociology, and Youth Development to share their expertise and contribute to our mission of promoting adolescent health. Moreover, we value the voices of young individuals, family and community members, and healthcare professionals, and encourage them to submit poetry, personal narratives, images, and other creative works that provide unique insights into the experiences of adolescents and young adults. By combining scientific peer-reviewed research with creative expressions, our Journal aims to create a comprehensive understanding of the challenges and opportunities in adolescent and young adult health.