可再生能源及其对荷兰和南非农业和经济发展的影响

Q1 Social Sciences
Saul Ngarava , Alois Aldridge Mugadza
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用可再生能源是实现农业和经济可持续发展的重要途径。然而,全球北方和全球南方在获取可再生能源方面存在差异。本文利用自回归分布滞后误差修正模型和1991 - 2021年的数据,比较分析了荷兰和南非两国可再生能源消费、农业产值、国内生产总值(GDP)、经济多样化指数、城市人口、农业用水总量和贸易平衡之间的动态关系。在短期内,南非的可再生能源消费因农业产值而增加,但因国内生产总值而减少。从长远来看,可再生能源消费和GDP增加了农业产值,而农业产值也增加了南非的GDP。然而,在荷兰,可再生能源消费与农业和经济发展之间不存在短期和长期的关系。结果显示,在南非存在着一种短期和长期的关系。此外,在荷兰,可再生能源消费的调整速度为-1.46,误差修正为0.68 a(8.22个月)。在南非,可再生能源消费的调整速度为-1.28,误差修正为0.78 a(9.38个月)。因此,与南非相比,荷兰的可再生能源消费在受到冲击后恢复平衡所需的时间更短。这些发现表明,荷兰和南非在使用可再生能源方面的部门和经济转型举措有不同的轨迹。应该强调与诸如南非等全球南方国家的“农业能源社区”等倡议有关的政策,以促进在农业部门使用可再生能源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Renewable energy and its impact on agricultural and economic development in the Netherlands and South Africa
The use of renewable energy is an important way to achieve sustainable agricultural and economic development. However, there are differences in access to renewable energy between the Global North and Global South. This study utilised an autoregressive distributed lag-error correction model and the data spanning from 1991 to 2021 to comparatively analyse the dynamic relationship among renewable energy consumption, the value of agricultural production, gross domestic product (GDP), economic diversification index, urban population, the total water extraction for agricultural withdrawal, and trade balance in the Netherlands and South Africa. In the short run, renewable energy consumption was increased by the value of agricultural production but decreased by GDP in South Africa. In the long run, renewable energy consumption and GDP increased the value of agricultural production, while the value of agricultural production also increased GDP in South Africa. However, in the Netherlands, there was no short- and long-run relationship between renewable energy consumption and agricultural and economic development. The results revealed that there was a short- and long-run relationship in South Africa. Moreover, in the Netherlands, the adjustment speed was –1.46 for renewable energy consumption with an error correction of 0.68 a (8.22 months). In South Africa, the adjustment speed was –1.28 for renewable energy consumption with an error correction of 0.78 a (9.38 months). Therefore, compared to South Africa, renewable energy consumption in the Netherlands takes less time to return to balance after a shock. These findings signify different trajectories on sectoral and economic transition initiatives spurred using renewable energy between the Netherlands and South Africa. Policy relating to initiatives such as “agro-energy communities” in Global South countries such as South Africa should be emphasised to promote the use of renewable energy in the agricultural sector.
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来源期刊
Regional Sustainability
Regional Sustainability Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
21 weeks
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