临床试验数据的统计分析和显著性检验

Gregory L Ginn, Clare Campbell-Cooper
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引用次数: 0

摘要

临床试验数据的分析对于确定治疗的真实效果和将这些效果与随机变化区分开来至关重要。讨论了两种关键的统计方法:描述性和推断性。描述性统计通过总结参与者特征、治疗结果和使用平均值、中位数、标准偏差和四分位数范围等度量的变量分布来提供见解。这些总结为假设检验和假设验证奠定了基础。推论统计通过使用假设检验、置信区间和回归模型等方法,对更广泛的人群进行概括,从而扩展了这一基础。假设检验评估治疗效果的证据,通常使用统计检验,如t检验、方差分析或卡方检验,而置信区间量化这些效果的精度。生存分析,如Kaplan-Meier曲线和Cox模型,用于时间到事件的数据。协变量的调整对于控制混杂因素至关重要,并且通常与管理多重比较的方法相结合,例如Bonferroni校正和错误发现率(FDR)程序。适当的功率计算确保足够的样本量来检测有意义的效果,最大限度地减少I型和II型错误。这种综合方法加强了临床试验结论的可靠性,支持医学研究中的循证决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical analysis and significance tests for clinical trial data
The analysis of clinical trial data is vital for determining the true effects of treatments and differentiating these effects from random variation. Two key statistical methodologies are discussed: descriptive and inferential. Descriptive statistics provide insights by summarizing participant characteristics, treatment outcomes, and variable distributions using measures such as the mean, median, standard deviation and interquartile range. These summaries set the stage for hypothesis testing and assumption validation. Inferential statistics extend this foundation by enabling generalizations about a broader population, employing methods such as hypothesis testing, confidence intervals and regression models. Hypothesis testing evaluates the evidence for treatment effects, often using statistical tests such as t-tests, analysis of variance or chi-squared tests, while confidence intervals quantify the precision of these effects. Survival analysis, such as Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox models, is employed for time-to-event data. Adjusting for covariates is crucial for controlling confounding factors and is often paired with methods to manage multiple comparisons, such as Bonferroni corrections and false discovery rate (FDR) procedures. Proper power calculations ensure adequate sample sizes to detect meaningful effects, minimizing type I and type II errors. This comprehensive approach strengthens the reliability of clinical trial conclusions, supporting evidence-based decision-making in medical research.
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