血清铁蛋白与重症发热伴血小板减少综合征患者死亡率之间的关系:一项回顾性队列研究。

IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q1 PARASITOLOGY
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases Pub Date : 2025-05-22 eCollection Date: 2025-05-01 DOI:10.1371/journal.pntd.0013104
Wenyan Xiao, Liangliang Zhang, Yang Zhang, Juanjuan Hu, Jin Zhang, Tianfeng Hua, Min Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

血清铁蛋白(一种急性期炎症标志物)在预测严重发热伴血小板减少综合征(SFTS)患者死亡率中的作用尚不完全清楚。本研究旨在探讨血清铁蛋白水平与SFTS患者住院死亡率之间的关系。我们对2017年5月至2024年9月在安徽医科大学第二附属医院诊断为SFTS的患者数据进行了回顾性分析。采用Cox回归模型和限制性三次样条(RCS)分析评估SFTS患者血清铁蛋白水平与住院死亡率之间的关系。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线确定预测死亡风险的最佳血清铁蛋白临界值。比较Kaplan-Meier生存曲线的生存率,并采用倾向评分匹配线性趋势检验来确保稳健性。本研究纳入390例SFTS患者,其中312例存活,78例死亡,住院死亡率为20.0%。Cox回归和RCS分析显示,血清铁蛋白水平升高与SFTS患者住院死亡率增加之间存在显著的线性关联,表明血清铁蛋白水平升高超过一定阈值后,SFTS患者的预测死亡率增加。ROC分析显示曲线下面积为0.830,血清铁蛋白最佳临界值为3.975 (lg, ng/ml),敏感性为0.731,特异性为0.830。在临床上,血清铁蛋白水平高于4 (lg ng/ml)与死亡风险大幅增加相关。敏感性分析支持这些结果的稳健性。血清铁蛋白水平与SFTS患者的死亡风险呈线性相关,当血清铁蛋白水平超过10,000 ng/ml时,死亡率显著增加。血清铁蛋白水平可作为SFTS患者死亡风险的有价值的预后生物标志物。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Association between serum ferritin and mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome: A retrospective cohort study.

The role of serum ferritin, an acute-phase inflammatory marker, in predicting mortality in patients with severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is not fully understood. This study aimed to investigate the association between serum ferritin levels and inpatient mortality in patients with SFTS. We conducted a retrospective analysis using data from patients diagnosed with SFTS at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University between May 2017 and September 2024. The association between serum ferritin levels and in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS was assessed using Cox regression models and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal serum ferritin cut-off value for predicting mortality risk. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were compared for survival rates, and propensity score matching with linear trend testing was applied to ensure robustness. This study included 390 patients with SFTS, of whom 312 survived and 78 did not, yielding an in-hospital mortality rate of 20.0%. Cox regression and RCS analyses demonstrated a significant linear association between higher serum ferritin levels and increased in-hospital mortality in patients with SFTS, indicating that the predicted mortality of patients with SFTS increased with elevated serum ferritin levels beyond a certain threshold. ROC analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.830, with an optimal serum ferritin cut-off of 3.975 (lg, ng/ml), sensitivity of 0.731, and specificity of 0.830. Clinically, serum ferritin levels above 4 (lg ng/ml), were associated with a substantial increase in mortality risk. Sensitivity analysis supported the robustness of these results. Serum ferritin levels are linearly associated with mortality risk in patients with SFTS, with mortality significantly increasing when serum ferritin levels exceed 10,000 ng/ml. Serum ferritin level may serve as a valuable prognostic biomarker for mortality risk in patients with SFTS.

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来源期刊
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases PARASITOLOGY-TROPICAL MEDICINE
自引率
10.50%
发文量
723
期刊介绍: PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases publishes research devoted to the pathology, epidemiology, prevention, treatment and control of the neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), as well as relevant public policy. The NTDs are defined as a group of poverty-promoting chronic infectious diseases, which primarily occur in rural areas and poor urban areas of low-income and middle-income countries. Their impact on child health and development, pregnancy, and worker productivity, as well as their stigmatizing features limit economic stability. All aspects of these diseases are considered, including: Pathogenesis Clinical features Pharmacology and treatment Diagnosis Epidemiology Vector biology Vaccinology and prevention Demographic, ecological and social determinants Public health and policy aspects (including cost-effectiveness analyses).
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