基于经验能量距离的函数数据变化点检测

IF 9.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一种新的检验统计量来检测在一系列相关的,可能是多变量的,函数值观测值中的变化点的存在。我们的方法允许测试非常一般的一类变化点,包括平均值变化的“经典”情况,甚至整个分布的变化。我们的统计是基于经验能量距离的概括;我们提出了能量距离过程的加权函数,其设计是为了增强检测在样本端点发生的中断的能力。我们统计数据的最大选择版本的限制分布只需要计算协方差函数的特征值,因此很容易在最常用的软件包中实现,例如r。我们表明,在替代方案下,我们的统计数据能够检测到甚至非常接近样本的开始/结束的变化点。在存在多个变化点的情况下,我们提出了一种二值分割算法来估计断裂的数量和位置。仿真结果表明,我们的方法在有限的样本中运行良好。我们用金融和温度数据的应用来补充我们的理论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On changepoint detection in functional data using empirical energy distance
We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints, including the “classical” case of changes in the mean, and even changes in the whole distribution. Our statistics are based on a generalisation of the empirical energy distance; we propose weighted functionals of the energy distance process, which are designed in order to enhance the ability to detect breaks occurring at sample endpoints. The limiting distribution of the maximally selected version of our statistics requires only the computation of the eigenvalues of the covariance function, thus being readily implementable in the most commonly employed packages, e.g. R. We show that, under the alternative, our statistics are able to detect changepoints occurring even very close to the beginning/end of the sample. In the presence of multiple changepoints, we propose a binary segmentation algorithm to estimate the number of breaks and the locations thereof. Simulations show that our procedures work very well in finite samples. We complement our theory with applications to financial and temperature data.
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来源期刊
Journal of Econometrics
Journal of Econometrics 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
1.60%
发文量
220
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.
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