{"title":"了解实用试验结果和亚组分析的异质性:FIAT的例子","authors":"Jean Raymond , Tim E. Darsaut","doi":"10.1016/j.neuchi.2025.101683","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and purpose</h3><div>Pragmatic trial results are intrinsically heterogeneous and the ‘average treatment effect’, on which the paradigmatic verdict of explanatory trials is based may not suffice to translate trial results into clinically meaningful conclusions applicable in practice. Examining various subgroups is problematic because they are at risk of both false negative and false positive results.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We summarize FIAT, a pragmatic care trial on flow diversion where multiple subgroups were examined. The notions of average treatment effect and interaction tests are reviewed to better understand their application in pragmatic trials.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The trial showed flow diversion to be superior to standard treatments, but the results do not apply to all intracranial aneurysms. The notion of a ‘true average treatment effect’ can hardly apply when there are multiple comparator interventions and clinical heterogeneity. Various subgroups were examined in spite of negative interaction tests, to help interpret the trial results. Subgroup findings can be credible so long as they are not data-dependent ‘fishing expeditions’. Meaningful clinical subgroups that have been pre-specified and integrated into the randomization scheme and power calculation provide the most credible conclusions.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Non-prespecified data-dependent subgroup analyses are at high risk of being incorrect and should not be used to make clinical decisions in practice. A critical assessment of pre-specified subgroup analyses can nonetheless help interpret heterogeneous pragmatic trial results.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":51141,"journal":{"name":"Neurochirurgie","volume":"71 4","pages":"Article 101683"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Understanding heterogeneity of pragmatic trial results and subgroup analyses: The FIAT example\",\"authors\":\"Jean Raymond , Tim E. Darsaut\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.neuchi.2025.101683\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background and purpose</h3><div>Pragmatic trial results are intrinsically heterogeneous and the ‘average treatment effect’, on which the paradigmatic verdict of explanatory trials is based may not suffice to translate trial results into clinically meaningful conclusions applicable in practice. Examining various subgroups is problematic because they are at risk of both false negative and false positive results.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We summarize FIAT, a pragmatic care trial on flow diversion where multiple subgroups were examined. The notions of average treatment effect and interaction tests are reviewed to better understand their application in pragmatic trials.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>The trial showed flow diversion to be superior to standard treatments, but the results do not apply to all intracranial aneurysms. The notion of a ‘true average treatment effect’ can hardly apply when there are multiple comparator interventions and clinical heterogeneity. Various subgroups were examined in spite of negative interaction tests, to help interpret the trial results. Subgroup findings can be credible so long as they are not data-dependent ‘fishing expeditions’. Meaningful clinical subgroups that have been pre-specified and integrated into the randomization scheme and power calculation provide the most credible conclusions.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Non-prespecified data-dependent subgroup analyses are at high risk of being incorrect and should not be used to make clinical decisions in practice. A critical assessment of pre-specified subgroup analyses can nonetheless help interpret heterogeneous pragmatic trial results.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":51141,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Neurochirurgie\",\"volume\":\"71 4\",\"pages\":\"Article 101683\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Neurochirurgie\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0028377025000566\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Neurochirurgie","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0028377025000566","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Understanding heterogeneity of pragmatic trial results and subgroup analyses: The FIAT example
Background and purpose
Pragmatic trial results are intrinsically heterogeneous and the ‘average treatment effect’, on which the paradigmatic verdict of explanatory trials is based may not suffice to translate trial results into clinically meaningful conclusions applicable in practice. Examining various subgroups is problematic because they are at risk of both false negative and false positive results.
Methods
We summarize FIAT, a pragmatic care trial on flow diversion where multiple subgroups were examined. The notions of average treatment effect and interaction tests are reviewed to better understand their application in pragmatic trials.
Results
The trial showed flow diversion to be superior to standard treatments, but the results do not apply to all intracranial aneurysms. The notion of a ‘true average treatment effect’ can hardly apply when there are multiple comparator interventions and clinical heterogeneity. Various subgroups were examined in spite of negative interaction tests, to help interpret the trial results. Subgroup findings can be credible so long as they are not data-dependent ‘fishing expeditions’. Meaningful clinical subgroups that have been pre-specified and integrated into the randomization scheme and power calculation provide the most credible conclusions.
Conclusion
Non-prespecified data-dependent subgroup analyses are at high risk of being incorrect and should not be used to make clinical decisions in practice. A critical assessment of pre-specified subgroup analyses can nonetheless help interpret heterogeneous pragmatic trial results.
期刊介绍:
Neurochirurgie publishes articles on treatment, teaching and research, neurosurgery training and the professional aspects of our discipline, and also the history and progress of neurosurgery. It focuses on pathologies of the head, spine and central and peripheral nervous systems and their vascularization. All aspects of the specialty are dealt with: trauma, tumor, degenerative disease, infection, vascular pathology, and radiosurgery, and pediatrics. Transversal studies are also welcome: neuroanatomy, neurophysiology, neurology, neuropediatrics, psychiatry, neuropsychology, physical medicine and neurologic rehabilitation, neuro-anesthesia, neurologic intensive care, neuroradiology, functional exploration, neuropathology, neuro-ophthalmology, otoneurology, maxillofacial surgery, neuro-endocrinology and spine surgery. Technical and methodological aspects are also taken onboard: diagnostic and therapeutic techniques, methods for assessing results, epidemiology, surgical, interventional and radiological techniques, simulations and pathophysiological hypotheses, and educational tools. The editorial board may refuse submissions that fail to meet the journal''s aims and scope; such studies will not be peer-reviewed, and the editor in chief will promptly inform the corresponding author, so as not to delay submission to a more suitable journal.
With a view to attracting an international audience of both readers and writers, Neurochirurgie especially welcomes articles in English, and gives priority to original studies. Other kinds of article - reviews, case reports, technical notes and meta-analyses - are equally published.
Every year, a special edition is dedicated to the topic selected by the French Society of Neurosurgery for its annual report.