Sequential decreases in basolateral amygdala response to threat predict failure to recover from PTSD.

Amygdala hyperreactivity early-post trauma has been a demonstrable neurobiological correlate of future posttraumautic stress disorder (PTSD). The basolateral amygdala (BLA) particularly is vital for fear memory and threat processing, but BLA functional dynamics following a traumatic event are unexplored. BLA reactivity to threat may be a trait that can predict PTSD and persist over time. Alternatively, BLA responsivity to threat cues may change over time and be related to PTSD severity. As part of a larger, multisite study, AURORA, participants 18-75 years old were enrolled in an emergency department (ED) within 72 h of a traumatic event (N = 304, 199 female). At 2-weeks and 6-months post-trauma, PTSD symptoms, BLA responses to threat (fearful>neutral faces), and functional connectivity (FC) during fMRI were assessed. Generalizability of findings was assessed in an external replication sample of ED patients (n = 33). Two weeks post-trauma right BLA reactivity positively predicted later PTSD severity. However, left BLA reactivity to threat at 6 months post-trauma was negatively associated with PTSD severity at that timepoint (ΔPseudo-R² = 0.04, IRR = 0.38, p < 0.001). In addition, a decrease in BLA reactivity from 2-weeks to 6-months predicted greater PTSD severity at 6 months (ΔPseudo-R² = 0.03, IRR = 0.58, p < 0.001). This replicated in the external sample. A reduction in left BLA FC with the dorsal attention network predicted increased PTSD severity over time. These findings support a shift in BLA function within the first 6 months post-trauma that predicts PTSD pathology and stand in contrast to prior conceptualizations of amygdala hyperreactivity as a trait-like PTSD risk factor.