{"title":"基于风险价值的最优保险设计","authors":"Tim J. Boonen, Yuyu Chen, Xia Han, Qiuqi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ejor.2025.04.038","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores optimal insurance solutions based on the Lambda-Value-at-Risk (<mml:math altimg=\"si1.svg\" display=\"inline\"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Λ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math>). Using the expected value premium principle, we first analyze a stop-loss indemnity and provide a closed-form expression for the deductible parameter. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a positive and finite deductible is also established. We then generalize the stop-loss indemnity and show that, akin to the VaR model, a limited stop-loss indemnity remains optimal within the <mml:math altimg=\"si1.svg\" display=\"inline\"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Λ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> framework. Further, we examine the use of <mml:math altimg=\"si3.svg\" display=\"inline\"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Λ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> as a premium principle and show that full or no insurance is optimal. We also identify that a limited loss indemnity is optimal when <mml:math altimg=\"si3.svg\" display=\"inline\"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">Λ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant=\"normal\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> is solely used to determine the risk-loading in the premium principle. Additionally, we investigate the impact of model uncertainty, particularly in scenarios where the loss distribution is unknown but lies within a specified uncertainty set. Our findings suggest that a limited stop-loss indemnity is optimal when the uncertainty set is defined using a likelihood ratio. Meanwhile, when only the first two moments of the loss distribution are available, we provide a closed-form expression for the optimal deductible in a stop-loss indemnity.","PeriodicalId":55161,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Operational Research","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Optimal insurance design with Lambda-Value-at-Risk\",\"authors\":\"Tim J. Boonen, Yuyu Chen, Xia Han, Qiuqi Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ejor.2025.04.038\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper explores optimal insurance solutions based on the Lambda-Value-at-Risk (<mml:math altimg=\\\"si1.svg\\\" display=\\\"inline\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">Λ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math>). Using the expected value premium principle, we first analyze a stop-loss indemnity and provide a closed-form expression for the deductible parameter. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a positive and finite deductible is also established. We then generalize the stop-loss indemnity and show that, akin to the VaR model, a limited stop-loss indemnity remains optimal within the <mml:math altimg=\\\"si1.svg\\\" display=\\\"inline\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">Λ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> framework. Further, we examine the use of <mml:math altimg=\\\"si3.svg\\\" display=\\\"inline\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">Λ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> as a premium principle and show that full or no insurance is optimal. We also identify that a limited loss indemnity is optimal when <mml:math altimg=\\\"si3.svg\\\" display=\\\"inline\\\"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">Λ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant=\\\"normal\\\">VaR</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math> is solely used to determine the risk-loading in the premium principle. Additionally, we investigate the impact of model uncertainty, particularly in scenarios where the loss distribution is unknown but lies within a specified uncertainty set. Our findings suggest that a limited stop-loss indemnity is optimal when the uncertainty set is defined using a likelihood ratio. Meanwhile, when only the first two moments of the loss distribution are available, we provide a closed-form expression for the optimal deductible in a stop-loss indemnity.\",\"PeriodicalId\":55161,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Journal of Operational Research\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Journal of Operational Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2025.04.038\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Journal of Operational Research","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2025.04.038","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Optimal insurance design with Lambda-Value-at-Risk
This paper explores optimal insurance solutions based on the Lambda-Value-at-Risk (ΛVaR). Using the expected value premium principle, we first analyze a stop-loss indemnity and provide a closed-form expression for the deductible parameter. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a positive and finite deductible is also established. We then generalize the stop-loss indemnity and show that, akin to the VaR model, a limited stop-loss indemnity remains optimal within the ΛVaR framework. Further, we examine the use of Λ′VaR as a premium principle and show that full or no insurance is optimal. We also identify that a limited loss indemnity is optimal when Λ′VaR is solely used to determine the risk-loading in the premium principle. Additionally, we investigate the impact of model uncertainty, particularly in scenarios where the loss distribution is unknown but lies within a specified uncertainty set. Our findings suggest that a limited stop-loss indemnity is optimal when the uncertainty set is defined using a likelihood ratio. Meanwhile, when only the first two moments of the loss distribution are available, we provide a closed-form expression for the optimal deductible in a stop-loss indemnity.
期刊介绍:
The European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) publishes high quality, original papers that contribute to the methodology of operational research (OR) and to the practice of decision making.