基于水平处理方法和改进GWO算法的短期电力负荷预测

IF 3.4 3区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS
Yuntong Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在短期电力负荷预测领域,现有的预测方法预测精度较低。针对这一问题,本研究引入水平处理方法和改进的灰狼遗传算法对短期电力负荷进行预测,优化电力负荷预测精度。采用遗传算法对传统的灰狼算法进行优化。然后,结合水平处理算法中的水平集算法,构建了融合水平处理的遗传灰狼混合模型。通过水平集算法对负荷数据中的变量进行处理和分析。基于改进的灰狼遗传算法确定种群的最终位置。将所提出的模型与长短期记忆模型以及变分模态分解模型进行了对比实验。平均预测精度保持在0.652 ~ 0.859之间,显著高于其他两种比较模型。平均绝对误差为1.869,显著低于其他两个模型。F1得分和准确率分别为0.891和90.32%,表明其预测性能明显优于其他两个模型。采用查准率-查全率曲线、准确率、平均绝对误差、F1分数等指标评价三种模型的性能。该模型在短期电力负荷预测中能够准确地进行负荷预测分析,其预测性能优于其他两种预测模型。该预测方法能够准确预测短期电力负荷,为今后电力负荷预测研究人员提供有益的参考和启示,促进短期电力负荷预测技术的不断发展和进步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Short-Term Power Load Prediction Based on Level Processing Method and Improved GWO Algorithm
In the field of short-term power load prediction, the current prediction methods have low prediction accuracy. To address this issue, this study introduces level processing method and improved grey wolf genetic algorithm to predict short-term power load and optimize the power load prediction accuracy. The genetic algorithm is applied to optimize the traditional grey wolf algorithm. Then, combined with the level set algorithm in the level processing algorithm, a genetic grey wolf hybrid model that integrates level processing is constructed. The variables in the load data are processed and analyzed through the level set algorithm. The final position of the population is determined based on the improved grey wolf genetic algorithm. Comparative experiments are conducted among the proposed model, the long short-term memory model, as well as the variational mode decomposition model. The average prediction accuracy remained within 0.652-0.859, significantly higher than the other two comparative models. The mean absolute error was 1.869, significantly lower than the other two models. The F1 score and accuracy were 0.891 and 90.32%, demonstrating that its predictive performance was significantly better than the other two models. Precision-recall curve, accuracy, mean absolute error, F1 score and other indicators are applied to evaluate the performance of the three models. The proposed model can accurately perform load prediction analysis in short-term power load prediction, and its prediction performance exceeds the other two prediction models. The prediction method can accurately predict short-term power load, providing useful references and inspirations for future researchers in power load prediction, and promoting the continuous development and progress of short-term power load prediction technology.
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来源期刊
IEEE Access
IEEE Access COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMSENGIN-ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
7.70%
发文量
6673
审稿时长
6 weeks
期刊介绍: IEEE Access® is a multidisciplinary, open access (OA), applications-oriented, all-electronic archival journal that continuously presents the results of original research or development across all of IEEE''s fields of interest. IEEE Access will publish articles that are of high interest to readers, original, technically correct, and clearly presented. Supported by author publication charges (APC), its hallmarks are a rapid peer review and publication process with open access to all readers. Unlike IEEE''s traditional Transactions or Journals, reviews are "binary", in that reviewers will either Accept or Reject an article in the form it is submitted in order to achieve rapid turnaround. Especially encouraged are submissions on: Multidisciplinary topics, or applications-oriented articles and negative results that do not fit within the scope of IEEE''s traditional journals. Practical articles discussing new experiments or measurement techniques, interesting solutions to engineering. Development of new or improved fabrication or manufacturing techniques. Reviews or survey articles of new or evolving fields oriented to assist others in understanding the new area.
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