新海上丝绸之路沿线绿色班轮航运网络减排政策弹性影响评估

IF 2.1 4区环境科学与生态学 Q3 ECOLOGY

Regional Studies in Marine Science Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI:10.1016/j.rsma.2025.104209

Gang Dong, Jiajie Zhang, Min Dai

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在国际海事组织（IMO）提出快速向零排放燃料转型的宏伟目标背景下，为了评估绿色班轮运输网络（RGLSN）在新海上丝绸之路（NMSR）沿线日益严格的减排政策下的弹性，本研究创新性地建立了一个级联失效模型来评估绿色班轮运输网络。明确考虑收紧排放如何控制RGLSN的影响。结果表明，严格的排放政策加速了网络弹性的下降，但采用绿色技术，如清洁燃料和减排创新，显著缓解了这些政策的负面影响，延缓了网络崩溃，提高了整体弹性。

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Evaluating the resilience impacts of emission reduction policies in green liner shipping network along the New Maritime Silk Road

Under the background of setting ambitious targets that demand a swift transition to zero-emission fuels by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), to evaluate the resilience of green liner shipping network (RGLSN) in the face of increasingly stringent emission reduction policies along the New Maritime Silk Road (NMSR), this study innovatively develops a cascading failure model to assess the green liner shipping network, explicitly considering how tightening emission controls the impacts of RGLSN. The results show that stricter emission policies accelerate the decline in network resilience, but the adoption of green technologies, such as cleaner fuels and emissions-reducing innovations, significantly mitigates the negative effects of these policies, delaying network collapse and improving overall resilience.

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来源期刊

Regional Studies in Marine Science Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

CiteScore

3.90

自引率

4.80%

发文量

336

审稿时长

69 days

期刊介绍： REGIONAL STUDIES IN MARINE SCIENCE will publish scientifically sound papers on regional aspects of maritime and marine resources in estuaries, coastal zones, continental shelf, the seas and oceans.