{"title":"基础设施项目人工智能驱动的风险识别模型:利用过去的项目数据","authors":"Fredrick Ahenkora Boamah , Xiaohua Jin, Sepani Senaratne, Srinath Perera","doi":"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127891","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Infrastructure projects are by nature complicated and vulnerable due to unpredictable risks encountered during their execution. The use of expert opinion and qualitative methodologies in traditional risk identification makes them vulnerable to subjectivity and responsiveness, leading to cost overruns, delays, and, ultimately, project failure. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of risk identification, this study utilises historical data in conjunction with AI approaches to develop a data-driven risk identification model. The model determines risk frequency and consequence by matching them to different risk categories in previous projects, considering word semantics. This model also demonstrates the facilitation of proactive decision-making and allows infrastructure project team members to identify risks early and implement mitigation plans. The study also highlights the practical significance of utilising historical data to make risk management strategies for infrastructure projects more reliable and efficient.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50461,"journal":{"name":"Expert Systems with Applications","volume":"283 ","pages":"Article 127891"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"AI-driven risk identification model for infrastructure project: Utilising past project data\",\"authors\":\"Fredrick Ahenkora Boamah , Xiaohua Jin, Sepani Senaratne, Srinath Perera\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127891\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Infrastructure projects are by nature complicated and vulnerable due to unpredictable risks encountered during their execution. The use of expert opinion and qualitative methodologies in traditional risk identification makes them vulnerable to subjectivity and responsiveness, leading to cost overruns, delays, and, ultimately, project failure. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of risk identification, this study utilises historical data in conjunction with AI approaches to develop a data-driven risk identification model. The model determines risk frequency and consequence by matching them to different risk categories in previous projects, considering word semantics. This model also demonstrates the facilitation of proactive decision-making and allows infrastructure project team members to identify risks early and implement mitigation plans. The study also highlights the practical significance of utilising historical data to make risk management strategies for infrastructure projects more reliable and efficient.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50461,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"volume\":\"283 \",\"pages\":\"Article 127891\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425015131\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expert Systems with Applications","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425015131","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
AI-driven risk identification model for infrastructure project: Utilising past project data
Infrastructure projects are by nature complicated and vulnerable due to unpredictable risks encountered during their execution. The use of expert opinion and qualitative methodologies in traditional risk identification makes them vulnerable to subjectivity and responsiveness, leading to cost overruns, delays, and, ultimately, project failure. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of risk identification, this study utilises historical data in conjunction with AI approaches to develop a data-driven risk identification model. The model determines risk frequency and consequence by matching them to different risk categories in previous projects, considering word semantics. This model also demonstrates the facilitation of proactive decision-making and allows infrastructure project team members to identify risks early and implement mitigation plans. The study also highlights the practical significance of utilising historical data to make risk management strategies for infrastructure projects more reliable and efficient.
期刊介绍:
Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.