基础设施项目人工智能驱动的风险识别模型:利用过去的项目数据

IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Fredrick Ahenkora Boamah , Xiaohua Jin, Sepani Senaratne, Srinath Perera
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基础设施项目本质上是复杂和脆弱的,因为在执行过程中会遇到不可预测的风险。在传统的风险识别中使用专家意见和定性方法使它们容易受到主观性和响应性的影响,导致成本超支、延迟,并最终导致项目失败。因此,为了提高风险识别的准确性,本研究利用历史数据与人工智能方法相结合,开发了数据驱动的风险识别模型。该模型通过将它们与以前项目中的不同风险类别进行匹配来确定风险频率和后果,并考虑单词语义。该模型还展示了对前瞻性决策的促进作用,使基础设施项目团队成员能够及早发现风险并实施缓解计划。该研究还强调了利用历史数据使基础设施项目风险管理策略更加可靠和高效的现实意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
AI-driven risk identification model for infrastructure project: Utilising past project data
Infrastructure projects are by nature complicated and vulnerable due to unpredictable risks encountered during their execution. The use of expert opinion and qualitative methodologies in traditional risk identification makes them vulnerable to subjectivity and responsiveness, leading to cost overruns, delays, and, ultimately, project failure. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of risk identification, this study utilises historical data in conjunction with AI approaches to develop a data-driven risk identification model. The model determines risk frequency and consequence by matching them to different risk categories in previous projects, considering word semantics. This model also demonstrates the facilitation of proactive decision-making and allows infrastructure project team members to identify risks early and implement mitigation plans. The study also highlights the practical significance of utilising historical data to make risk management strategies for infrastructure projects more reliable and efficient.
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来源期刊
Expert Systems with Applications
Expert Systems with Applications 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
13.80
自引率
10.60%
发文量
2045
审稿时长
8.7 months
期刊介绍: Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.
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