Deguang Wang , Qian Li , Shijun Liu , Li Pan , Jun Li
{"title":"长期河流流量预报:多尺度特征提取的综合深度学习模型","authors":"Deguang Wang , Qian Li , Shijun Liu , Li Pan , Jun Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127387","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. Despite the application of many deep learning models in river flow prediction, they often face challenges such as limited prediction durations and insufficient accuracy. In this study, we propose an integrated deep learning model based on multi-scale feature extraction to enhance the accuracy of long-term river flow forecasts. The model integrates a multi-scale feature extraction module and a context-aware module. The former is responsible for capturing diverse features of river flow at multiple scales, while the latter further analyzes and models these features. Together, these modules enhance the model’s performance in long-term river flow forecasting. Experimental results on a river flow dataset, predicting the flow for the next 120 h, demonstrate that the proposed model maintains high accuracy, thus validating its effectiveness for long-term river flow prediction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50461,"journal":{"name":"Expert Systems with Applications","volume":"281 ","pages":"Article 127387"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Long-term river flow forecasting: An integrated deep learning model with multi-scale feature extraction\",\"authors\":\"Deguang Wang , Qian Li , Shijun Liu , Li Pan , Jun Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127387\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. Despite the application of many deep learning models in river flow prediction, they often face challenges such as limited prediction durations and insufficient accuracy. In this study, we propose an integrated deep learning model based on multi-scale feature extraction to enhance the accuracy of long-term river flow forecasts. The model integrates a multi-scale feature extraction module and a context-aware module. The former is responsible for capturing diverse features of river flow at multiple scales, while the latter further analyzes and models these features. Together, these modules enhance the model’s performance in long-term river flow forecasting. Experimental results on a river flow dataset, predicting the flow for the next 120 h, demonstrate that the proposed model maintains high accuracy, thus validating its effectiveness for long-term river flow prediction.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50461,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"volume\":\"281 \",\"pages\":\"Article 127387\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425010097\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expert Systems with Applications","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425010097","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Long-term river flow forecasting: An integrated deep learning model with multi-scale feature extraction
River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. River flow forecasting is crucial for water resource management, flood prevention, and environmental sustainability. Despite the application of many deep learning models in river flow prediction, they often face challenges such as limited prediction durations and insufficient accuracy. In this study, we propose an integrated deep learning model based on multi-scale feature extraction to enhance the accuracy of long-term river flow forecasts. The model integrates a multi-scale feature extraction module and a context-aware module. The former is responsible for capturing diverse features of river flow at multiple scales, while the latter further analyzes and models these features. Together, these modules enhance the model’s performance in long-term river flow forecasting. Experimental results on a river flow dataset, predicting the flow for the next 120 h, demonstrate that the proposed model maintains high accuracy, thus validating its effectiveness for long-term river flow prediction.
期刊介绍:
Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.