中东和北非国家公路和航空运输基础设施对外国直接投资流入的影响:面板数据分析

Bensoltane BASSEM
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摘要

运输基础设施与外国直接投资之间的关系一直是并且仍然是一个重要的研究领域。因此,本研究利用面板数据和普通最小二乘(OLS)回归分析,对1996年至2022年15个中东和北非国家的相互作用进行了调查。结果表明,道路交通基础设施是吸引外商直接投资的最重要因素,其改善显著促进了外商投资。同样,航空运输基础设施通过增加进入全球市场的机会作出积极贡献,进一步推动外国直接投资流入。相比之下,人力资本没有统计上的显著影响,而贸易开放成为一个关键的决定因素,自由化的贸易政策促进了更多的外国直接投资。汇率显示出微弱的积极影响,减少了投资者的不确定性,而以人均GDP衡量的市场规模,由于更大的增长潜力和更高的购买力,强烈吸引外国直接投资。此外,政治稳定增强了投资者信心,进一步支持了外国直接投资流入。最后,交互效应表明,道路运输基础设施放大了贸易开放和汇率对FDI的正向影响。在这些发现的基础上,本研究提出了可操作的政策建议,以增加中东和北非地区的外国直接投资流入,并强调了未来研究的有希望的途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect of road and air transport infrastructure on FDI Inflows in MENA countries: A panel data analysis
The relationship between transport infrastructure and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been, and remains, a critical area of research. Accordingly, this study investigates their interplay in 15 MENA countries from 1996 to 2022, using panel data and Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression analysis. The results indicate that road transport infrastructure is the most influential factor in attracting FDI, with improvements significantly boosting foreign investment. Similarly, air transport infrastructure contributes positively by enhancing access to global markets, further driving FDI inflows. In contrast, human capital shows no statistically significant effect, while trade openness emerges as a crucial determinant, with liberalized trade policies fostering greater FDI. Exchange rate demonstrates a marginally positive effect, reducing investor uncertainty, whereas market size, measured by GDP per capita, strongly attracts FDI due to larger growth potential and higher purchasing power. Additionally, political stability fosters investor confidence, further supporting FDI inflows. Finally, the interaction effects reveal that road transport infrastructure amplifies the positive impacts of both trade openness and exchange rate on FDI. Building on these findings, the study provides actionable policy recommendations to enhance FDI inflows in the MENA region and highlights promising avenues for future research.
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