产妇女混合性尿失禁的危险因素和预测模型:来自大规模多中心流行病学调查的见解。

IF 2.9 3区 医学 Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES
DIGITAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2025-04-03 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1177/20552076251333661
Qi Wang, Stefano Manodoro, Huifang Lin, Xiaofang Li, Chaoqin Lin, Xiaoxiang Jiang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在通过多中心流行病学研究确定产妇混合性尿失禁(MUI)的独立危险因素,并建立和验证预测nomogram。方法:采用分层随机抽样的方法,于2022年6月至2023年9月对20岁以上的产妇进行大规模调查。数据包括社会人口学和产科史、合并症和标准化问卷。主要目标是确定MUI的高危因素,而次要目标是制定nomographic。采用单变量和多变量分析确定危险因素。通过内部和外部验证的一致性指数(C-index)和校准图来评估nomogram的性能。结果:共有7709名女性参与,MUI患病率为6.8%。独立危险因素包括较高的体重指数、城市居住、绝经后状态、多次阴道分娩、盆腔手术和巨大儿史、盆底功能障碍家族史、高血压和便秘。模态图模型在训练集的曲线下面积为0.717,内部验证为0.714,外部验证为0.725。校正图显示预测结果与观测结果吻合较好。结论:本研究确定了分娩妇女MUI的关键危险因素,并引入了一种经过验证的nomogram预测方法,该方法具有较高但不完美的预测准确性。该模型可以早期识别和管理MUI,但进一步的改进可以提高准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk factors and a predictive model for mixed urinary incontinence among parous women: Insights from a large-scale multicenter epidemiological investigation.

Purpose: This study aims to identify independent risk factors for mixed urinary incontinence (MUI) in parous women using a multicenter epidemiological study and to establish and validate a predictive nomogram.

Methods: A large-scale survey was conducted from June 2022 to September 2023, including parous women aged over 20 selected through stratified random sampling. Data encompassed sociodemographic and obstetric histories, comorbidities, and standardized questionnaires. The primary goal was to identify high-risk factors for MUI, while the secondary was to develop a nomogram. Risk factors were determined using univariable and multivariable analyses. The nomogram's performance was assessed via concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots through internal and external validation.

Results: A total of 7709 women participated, with an MUI prevalence of 6.8%. Independent risk factors included higher body mass index, urban residence, postmenopausal status, multiple vaginal deliveries, history of pelvic surgery and macrosomia, family history of pelvic floor dysfunction, hypertension, and constipation. The area under the curve for the nomogram model was 0.717 in the training set, 0.714 for internal validation, and 0.725 for external validation. The calibration plots showed a good agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes.

Conclusion: This study identifies key risk factors for MUI in parous women and introduces a validated nomogram with high but not perfect predictive accuracy. The model enables early identification and management of MUI, though further refinement could enhance accuracy.

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来源期刊
DIGITAL HEALTH
DIGITAL HEALTH Multiple-
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
7.70%
发文量
302
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