评论:老年急诊患者肺炎现有诊断标准的临床表现:一项前瞻性队列研究

IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q1 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY
Zeynep Iclal Turgut, Emre Ozkan, Orhan Cicek, Mustafa Hakan Dogan, Ilyas Akkar, Merve Yilmaz Kars, Muhammet Cemal Kizilarslanoglu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们非常感兴趣地阅读了最近发表的一篇关于急诊科老年人肺炎的文章《现有肺炎诊断标准在老年急诊患者中的临床表现:一项前瞻性队列研究》。该研究具有稳健的设计和良好的编写方法,提供了有价值的见解,特别是关于各种肺炎标准的诊断性能[1]。然而,我们想强调一些可能进一步加强研究结果的小问题,建立在研究设计和方法的坚实基础上。首先,由于表中三组的某些特征显著不同,事后分析将有助于更好地理解这些差异的来源(例如,用事后Bonferroni调整z检验代替卡方检验)。其次,在tab中给出了一些比较的p值。2,他们在标签中的人口特征明显缺失。1. 没有年龄、性别、种族、婚姻状况和教育水平的p值,评估这些因素在肺炎组和非肺炎组之间是否有显著差异是困难的。包括这些p值将提供对人口因素和其他因素在肺炎诊断中的作用的更清晰的理解,并加强对结果的解释bbb。此外,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析将有助于说明标准的判别能力,提供更全面的数据视图。虽然给出了不同肺炎诊断标准的敏感性、特异性以及阴性和阳性预测值,但在ROC分析的帮助下更好地记录这些关系。它将提供一些截止值,曲线下面积(AUC)水平,p值,敏感性,特异性以及阴性和阳性预测值;此外,可以比较这些计算出的auc,以确定哪些标准在诊断肺炎时更具预测性。此外,在分析中最好考虑肺炎的临床结果,包括死亡率和需要重症监护病房(ICU)入院。考虑到65岁及以上个体肺炎的严重程度,这些结果对于评估诊断方法的有效性至关重要。ICU住院率和死亡率数据将为该人群早期诊断和管理策略的临床意义提供额外的见解[10]。最后,虽然这项研究强调了过度诊断的问题,但它没有解决在这些病例中所开药物的潜在副作用。过度诊断可能导致不必要的抗生素使用,特别是当肺炎被误诊或经验性治疗时。然而,通过解决这一问题,我们有可能显著减少不必要的抗生素使用和相关风险,特别是在老年人群中,其中多种用药和药物不良事件普遍存在。这些观点不仅可以加强研究结果,还可以为该领域更全面、更有见地的研究铺平道路,从而减轻未来研究的负担,并激发对65岁及以上老年人肺炎诊断的进一步理解。Zeynep Iclal Turgut和Muhammet Cemal Kizilarslanoglu写了这封信,所有的共同作者都阅读并批准了手稿的最终版本。作者没有什么可报告的。作者声明无利益冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comment on: Clinical Performance of Existing Diagnostic Criteria for Pneumonia in Older Emergency Patients: A Prospective Cohort Study

We have read the recently published article “Clinical performance of existing diagnostic criteria for pneumonia in older emergency patients: A prospective cohort study” on pneumonia in older adults seen in the emergency department with great interest [1]. The study, with its robust design and well-written methods, provides valuable insights, particularly regarding the diagnostic performance of various pneumonia criteria [1]. However, we would like to highlight some minor points that may further strengthen the findings, building on the solid foundation of the study's design and methods.

First, because some characteristics were significantly different in the three groups in the table, post hoc analyses would be helpful in better understanding where these differences were derived (e.g., post hoc Bonferroni adjusted z-test for chi-squared test).

Secondly, while p-values were presented for some comparisons in tab. 2, they were notably absent for the demographic characteristics in tab. 1. Without p-values for age, gender, race, marital status, and education level, assessing whether these factors significantly differed between the pneumonia and non-pneumonia groups is difficult. Including these p-values would provide a clearer understanding of the role of demographic factors and others in pneumonia diagnosis and enhance the interpretation of the results [2].

Additionally, a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis would have helped illustrate the discriminative ability of the criteria, offering a more comprehensive view of the data [3]. Although sensitivity, specificity, and negative and positive predictive values of the different diagnosing criteria for pneumonia were given, it would be better to document these relations with the help of ROC analyses. It would provide some cutoff values, the area under the curve (AUC) levels, p-values, sensitivity, specificity, and negative and positive predictive values; moreover, it would be possible to compare these calculated AUCs to decide which criteria were more predictive in diagnosing pneumonia.

Furthermore, it would be better considering pneumonia's clinical outcomes, including mortality and requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission, in the analyses. Considering the severity of pneumonia in individuals aged 65 and older, these outcomes are essential for assessing the effectiveness of diagnostic methods. ICU admission rates and mortality data would provide additional insights into the clinical implications of early diagnosis and management strategies in this population [4].

Finally, while the study highlighted the problem of overdiagnosis, it did not address the potential side effects of medications prescribed in these cases. Overdiagnosis may lead to unnecessary antibiotic use, particularly when pneumonia is misdiagnosed or treated empirically. However, by addressing this issue, we have the potential to significantly reduce unnecessary antibiotic use and the associated risks, especially in the older population, where polypharmacy and adverse drug events are prevalent [5].

These points might not only strengthen the study's findings but also pave the way for more comprehensive and insightful research in this field, thereby lightening the burden on future studies and inspiring further contributions to the understanding of pneumonia diagnosis in individuals aged 65 and older.

Zeynep Iclal Turgut and Muhammet Cemal Kizilarslanoglu wrote the letter, and all co-authors have read and approved the final version of the manuscript.

The authors have nothing to report.

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.00
自引率
6.30%
发文量
504
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) is the go-to journal for clinical aging research. We provide a diverse, interprofessional community of healthcare professionals with the latest insights on geriatrics education, clinical practice, and public policy—all supporting the high-quality, person-centered care essential to our well-being as we age. Since the publication of our first edition in 1953, JAGS has remained one of the oldest and most impactful journals dedicated exclusively to gerontology and geriatrics.
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