江苏省南通市城镇(街道)梅毒的时空分布特征

IF 2.6 3区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
International Journal of Public Health Pub Date : 2025-03-18 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.3389/ijph.2025.1606875
Zhihai Zhang, Xiaoyan Hou, Maomao Liu, Maoxuan Wu, Ping Zhu, Xiaoyi Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:了解南通市梅毒的时空分布特征及变化趋势。方法:采用联合点回归模型、空间自相关和SaTScan时空扫描分析南通市梅毒报告发病趋势及时空分布特征。结果:2013 - 2022年,南通市梅毒报告发病率年均增长6.60%,其中潜伏梅毒的年增长率为13.45%。高-高集聚区主要分布在崇川区15条街道和南通开发区全部街道。SaTScan时空扫描共检测到两个聚类区,均为2021 - 2022年。第一个集群包括24条街道,半径为16.27公里;第二个集群包括18条街道,半径为34.90公里。结论:南通市梅毒报告发病率呈上升趋势,主要表现为潜伏梅毒增加,各乡镇(街道)梅毒报告发病率呈现明显的空间集聚性,应重视重点区域,制定针对性干预措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatio-Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Syphilis: on the Scale of Towns (Streets) in Nantong City, Jiangsu Province, China.

Objectives: To investigate the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics and changing trends of syphilis in Nantong city.

Methods: Joinpoint regression model, spatial autocorrelation and SaTScan spatio-temporal scanning were used to analyze the trend of syphilis reported incidence and spatio-temporal distribution characteristics in Nantong City.

Results: From 2013 to 2022, the reported incidence of syphilis in Nantong City increased at an average annual rate of 6.60%, of which the increase rate of latent syphilis was 13.45%. The high-high clustering areas were mainly distributed in 15 streets of Chongchuan District and all streets of Nantong Development Zone. SaTScan spatio-temporal scanning detected a total of two clustering areas, all from 2021 to 2022. The first cluster includes 24 streets with a radius of 16.27 km, and the second cluster includes 18 streets within a radius of 34.90 km.

Conclusion: The reported incidence of syphilis in Nantong City showed an increasing trend, mainly manifested as an increase in latent syphilis, and the reported incidence of syphilis in various towns (streets) showed obvious spatial clustering, and attention should be paid to key areas and targeted interventions should be formulated.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Public Health
International Journal of Public Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
2.20%
发文量
269
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Public Health publishes scientific articles relevant to global public health, from different countries and cultures, and assembles them into issues that raise awareness and understanding of public health problems and solutions. The Journal welcomes submissions of original research, critical and relevant reviews, methodological papers and manuscripts that emphasize theoretical content. IJPH sometimes publishes commentaries and opinions. Special issues highlight key areas of current research. The Editorial Board''s mission is to provide a thoughtful forum for contemporary issues and challenges in global public health research and practice.
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