加强反洗黑钱措施能减少罪案吗?腐败、贿赂与环境犯罪的实证研究

Agung Andiojaya
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引用次数: 0

摘要

反洗钱(AML)计划的目标是破坏犯罪组织的金融基础设施,从而扣押非法资产并遏制这些犯罪活动的扩大。本文评估了“反洗钱”计划在遏制三种不同形式的犯罪活动方面的有效性:腐败、贿赂和环境犯罪。该分析涵盖了192个国家的代表性样本。之所以选择这些罪行,是因为它们具有重大的社会经济影响,并严重依赖非法资金流动。本研究采用多元多元回归分析和多元方差分析(MANOVA)来评估洗钱风险对腐败感知指数(CPI)、贿赂风险和环境犯罪的影响。研究结果表明,严格的“反洗钱”措施显著降低了与这些犯罪相关的风险,证实了有效的“反洗钱”计划可以通过限制非法资金的获取来威慑犯罪分子的假设。本研究通过定量评估“反洗钱”在不同犯罪活动中的有效性,填补了这一空白,有助于更广泛地讨论预防金融犯罪。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do stronger Anti Money Laundering (AML) measures reduce crime? An empirical study on corruption, bribery, and environmental crime
The objective of anti-money laundering (AML) programs is to disrupt the financial infrastructure of criminal organizations, thereby seizing illicit assets and curbing the expansion of these criminal activities. This paper assesses the effectiveness of AML programs in curbing three distinct forms of criminal activity: corruption, bribery, and environmental crime. The analysis encompasses a representative sample of 192 countries. These crimes were selected due to their significant socio-economic impacts and their strong dependence on illicit financial flows. This study employs multivariate multiple regression analysis and multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) to assess the influence of money laundering risk on the Corruption Perception Index (CPI), bribery risk, and environmental crime. The results indicate that rigorous AML measures significantly mitigate the risks associated with these crimes, substantiating the hypothesis that efficacious AML programs can deter criminals by limiting access to illicit funds. This research addresses a gap by quantitatively assessing AML effectiveness across diverse criminal activities, contributing to the broader discourse on financial crime prevention.
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