{"title":"心源性猝死的静态与动态风险:预测和预防改进的意义","authors":"Marita Knudsen Pope, Sumeet S Chugh","doi":"10.1111/jce.16654","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a major public health challenge, resulting in significant loss of life each year. Effective prevention relies on identifying individuals at elevated risk; however, accurate prediction of SCD has proven difficult. The current clinical strategy relies on a static risk assessment, primarily using left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 35% as a key criterion. This approach, however, often falls short. Emerging evidence highlights the potential of dynamic risk assessment to improve SCD risk stratification when changes in vulnerable clinical substrate are monitored over time. These dynamic changes, observed months to years before an event or during the time-period immediately preceding it, have shown promise in enhancing risk prediction. Thus far, relatively few studies have investigated this dynamic risk concept, underscoring the need for further research including validation in larger, prospective studies and clinical trials. Such studies could pave the way for long-term and near-term dynamic risk assessment tools that are independent of, and additive to, static risk stratification, ultimately leading to more accurate and timely identification of patients at risk of SCD.</p>","PeriodicalId":15178,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Static Versus Dynamic Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death: Implications for Improvement of Prediction and Prevention.\",\"authors\":\"Marita Knudsen Pope, Sumeet S Chugh\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/jce.16654\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a major public health challenge, resulting in significant loss of life each year. Effective prevention relies on identifying individuals at elevated risk; however, accurate prediction of SCD has proven difficult. The current clinical strategy relies on a static risk assessment, primarily using left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 35% as a key criterion. This approach, however, often falls short. Emerging evidence highlights the potential of dynamic risk assessment to improve SCD risk stratification when changes in vulnerable clinical substrate are monitored over time. These dynamic changes, observed months to years before an event or during the time-period immediately preceding it, have shown promise in enhancing risk prediction. Thus far, relatively few studies have investigated this dynamic risk concept, underscoring the need for further research including validation in larger, prospective studies and clinical trials. Such studies could pave the way for long-term and near-term dynamic risk assessment tools that are independent of, and additive to, static risk stratification, ultimately leading to more accurate and timely identification of patients at risk of SCD.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15178,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/jce.16654\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jce.16654","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Static Versus Dynamic Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death: Implications for Improvement of Prediction and Prevention.
Sudden cardiac death (SCD) is a major public health challenge, resulting in significant loss of life each year. Effective prevention relies on identifying individuals at elevated risk; however, accurate prediction of SCD has proven difficult. The current clinical strategy relies on a static risk assessment, primarily using left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 35% as a key criterion. This approach, however, often falls short. Emerging evidence highlights the potential of dynamic risk assessment to improve SCD risk stratification when changes in vulnerable clinical substrate are monitored over time. These dynamic changes, observed months to years before an event or during the time-period immediately preceding it, have shown promise in enhancing risk prediction. Thus far, relatively few studies have investigated this dynamic risk concept, underscoring the need for further research including validation in larger, prospective studies and clinical trials. Such studies could pave the way for long-term and near-term dynamic risk assessment tools that are independent of, and additive to, static risk stratification, ultimately leading to more accurate and timely identification of patients at risk of SCD.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Cardiovascular Electrophysiology (JCE) keeps its readership well informed of the latest developments in the study and management of arrhythmic disorders. Edited by Bradley P. Knight, M.D., and a distinguished international editorial board, JCE is the leading journal devoted to the study of the electrophysiology of the heart.