进化博弈分析框架下的谣言传播。

IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
Chaos Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI:10.1063/5.0259050
Deliang Li, Yi Zhao, Yang Deng, Yifeng Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着社交网络的普及,谣言很容易传播,人们对谣言的传播越来越关注。在这种情况下,谣言的传播不仅受到信息本身内容的影响,还受到社交网络中各种行动者行为的影响。为了模拟这一过程,我们提出了一个新的谣言传播交互模型。该模型首次将表征媒体活动对谣言传播双重影响的谣言传播模型与三方进化博弈模型相结合,探讨了网民、媒体和政府在社交媒体平台上的互动关系。为了验证该模型,我们采用了一个物理信息神经网络来模拟来自美国Twitter平台的真实谣言传播数据。通过将谣言传播模型的估计参数集与三方进化博弈模型相结合,设计了一个新的三方进化博弈矩阵。该矩阵有效地量化了政府的监管力度、媒体传播谣言的倾向以及网民参与谣言传播的可能性。实验结果表明,政府严格控制的概率越高,谣言传播的势头越有效,而媒体传播谣言的概率越低,谣言揭穿者的数量就会增加。控制成本的降低导致政府干预的增加,媒体驱动的谣言传播减少,媒体驳斥的频率增加。综上所述,该模型对理解谣言传播动力学具有重要的实用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Rumor propagation in the framework of evolutionary game analysis.

With the ubiquity of social networks, rumors spread easily, leading to increasing attention on their dissemination. In this context, the spread of rumors is influenced not only by the content of the information itself but also by the behavior of various actors over social networks. To model such a process, we propose a novel rumor propagation interaction model. This model, for the first time, combines a rumor-spreading model, characterizing the dual impact of media activities on rumor propagation, with a three-party evolutionary game model, exploring the interactions among netizens, media, and the government on social media platforms. To validate the model, we employ a physics-informed neural network to simulate real rumor-spread data from the U.S. Twitter platform. By integrating the estimated parameter set from the rumor-spreading model with the three-party evolutionary game model, we design a new tripartite evolutionary game matrix. This matrix effectively quantifies the government's regulatory efforts, the media's tendency to spread rumors, and the likelihood of netizens participating in rumor diffusion. The experimental results demonstrate that a higher probability of strict government control more effectively curbs the momentum of rumor spread, while a lower probability of media spreading rumors corresponds to an increase in the number of rumor debunkers. Reduced control costs lead to increased government intervention, less media-driven rumor propagation, and more frequent media refutations. In summary, this model demonstrates significant practical value for understanding rumor propagation dynamics.

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来源期刊
Chaos
Chaos 物理-物理:数学物理
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
13.80%
发文量
448
审稿时长
2.3 months
期刊介绍: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science is a peer-reviewed journal devoted to increasing the understanding of nonlinear phenomena and describing the manifestations in a manner comprehensible to researchers from a broad spectrum of disciplines.
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