{"title":"解码临床决策的不确定性。","authors":"Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova, Giulia Pederzanil, Marianna Laviola","doi":"10.1098/rsta.2024.0207","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this opinion piece, we examine the pivotal role that uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays in informing clinical decision-making processes. We explore challenges associated with healthcare data and the potential barriers to the widespread adoption of UQ methodologies. In doing so, we highlight how these techniques can improve the precision and reliability of medical evaluations. We delve into the crucial role of understanding and managing the uncertainties present in clinical data (such as measurement error), diagnostic tools and treatment outcomes. We discuss how such uncertainties can impact decision-making in healthcare and emphasize the importance of systematically analysing them. Our goal is to demonstrate how effectively addressing and decoding uncertainties can significantly enhance the accuracy and robustness of clinical decisions, ultimately leading to better patient outcomes and more informed healthcare practices.This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification for healthcare and biological systems (Part 1)'.</p>","PeriodicalId":19879,"journal":{"name":"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences","volume":"383 2292","pages":"20240207"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11904615/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Decoding uncertainty for clinical decision-making.\",\"authors\":\"Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova, Giulia Pederzanil, Marianna Laviola\",\"doi\":\"10.1098/rsta.2024.0207\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>In this opinion piece, we examine the pivotal role that uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays in informing clinical decision-making processes. We explore challenges associated with healthcare data and the potential barriers to the widespread adoption of UQ methodologies. In doing so, we highlight how these techniques can improve the precision and reliability of medical evaluations. We delve into the crucial role of understanding and managing the uncertainties present in clinical data (such as measurement error), diagnostic tools and treatment outcomes. We discuss how such uncertainties can impact decision-making in healthcare and emphasize the importance of systematically analysing them. Our goal is to demonstrate how effectively addressing and decoding uncertainties can significantly enhance the accuracy and robustness of clinical decisions, ultimately leading to better patient outcomes and more informed healthcare practices.This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification for healthcare and biological systems (Part 1)'.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":19879,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences\",\"volume\":\"383 2292\",\"pages\":\"20240207\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11904615/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"103\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2024.0207\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"综合性期刊\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2024.0207","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Decoding uncertainty for clinical decision-making.
In this opinion piece, we examine the pivotal role that uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays in informing clinical decision-making processes. We explore challenges associated with healthcare data and the potential barriers to the widespread adoption of UQ methodologies. In doing so, we highlight how these techniques can improve the precision and reliability of medical evaluations. We delve into the crucial role of understanding and managing the uncertainties present in clinical data (such as measurement error), diagnostic tools and treatment outcomes. We discuss how such uncertainties can impact decision-making in healthcare and emphasize the importance of systematically analysing them. Our goal is to demonstrate how effectively addressing and decoding uncertainties can significantly enhance the accuracy and robustness of clinical decisions, ultimately leading to better patient outcomes and more informed healthcare practices.This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification for healthcare and biological systems (Part 1)'.
期刊介绍:
Continuing its long history of influential scientific publishing, Philosophical Transactions A publishes high-quality theme issues on topics of current importance and general interest within the physical, mathematical and engineering sciences, guest-edited by leading authorities and comprising new research, reviews and opinions from prominent researchers.