{"title":"基于CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention模型的弹丸弹道和发射点预测","authors":"Zhanpeng Gao, Dingye Zhang, Wenjun Yi","doi":"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127045","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to balance accuracy and the time length of projectile flight trajectory prediction, this paper combines the advantages of bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM), convolutional neural network (CNN) feature extraction and attention mechanism (Attention), and proposes a trajectory prediction model with correction (CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention). For the end error of 20 s, there are only 7.8 m, 7.9 m and 0.9 m deviations in firing height, range and offset. The network structure can ensure the prediction accuracy and increase the prediction time length. This scheme can provide sufficient response time for missile interception and effectively improve the probability of missile interception. At the same time, a network structure proposed in this paper trains two models and uses them respectively for future trajectory prediction and reverse launch point prediction. This scheme can achieve accurate prediction. Among them, the comprehensive error of the launch point of the reverse prediction sea level height in the range and sideslip direction is 8.31 m, which can accurately predict the position of the enemy launch point and strike the launch point.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50461,"journal":{"name":"Expert Systems with Applications","volume":"275 ","pages":"Article 127045"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Projectile trajectory and launch point prediction based on CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model\",\"authors\":\"Zhanpeng Gao, Dingye Zhang, Wenjun Yi\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.eswa.2025.127045\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to balance accuracy and the time length of projectile flight trajectory prediction, this paper combines the advantages of bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM), convolutional neural network (CNN) feature extraction and attention mechanism (Attention), and proposes a trajectory prediction model with correction (CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention). For the end error of 20 s, there are only 7.8 m, 7.9 m and 0.9 m deviations in firing height, range and offset. The network structure can ensure the prediction accuracy and increase the prediction time length. This scheme can provide sufficient response time for missile interception and effectively improve the probability of missile interception. At the same time, a network structure proposed in this paper trains two models and uses them respectively for future trajectory prediction and reverse launch point prediction. This scheme can achieve accurate prediction. Among them, the comprehensive error of the launch point of the reverse prediction sea level height in the range and sideslip direction is 8.31 m, which can accurately predict the position of the enemy launch point and strike the launch point.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50461,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"volume\":\"275 \",\"pages\":\"Article 127045\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-03-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Expert Systems with Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425006670\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expert Systems with Applications","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417425006670","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Projectile trajectory and launch point prediction based on CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model
Aiming at the problem that it is difficult to balance accuracy and the time length of projectile flight trajectory prediction, this paper combines the advantages of bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM), convolutional neural network (CNN) feature extraction and attention mechanism (Attention), and proposes a trajectory prediction model with correction (CORR-CNN-BiLSTM-Attention). For the end error of 20 s, there are only 7.8 m, 7.9 m and 0.9 m deviations in firing height, range and offset. The network structure can ensure the prediction accuracy and increase the prediction time length. This scheme can provide sufficient response time for missile interception and effectively improve the probability of missile interception. At the same time, a network structure proposed in this paper trains two models and uses them respectively for future trajectory prediction and reverse launch point prediction. This scheme can achieve accurate prediction. Among them, the comprehensive error of the launch point of the reverse prediction sea level height in the range and sideslip direction is 8.31 m, which can accurately predict the position of the enemy launch point and strike the launch point.
期刊介绍:
Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.