超越绿色资本主义：社会向可持续发展快速转型的全球方案

IF 5.7 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.eist.2025.100981

Arthur Lauer , Carlos de Castro , Óscar Carpintero

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Beyond Green capitalism: Global scenarios for fast societal transitions toward sustainability

Addressing the theoretical underpinnings of state involvement in transformative societal changes, this study employs a neo-Gramscian and functionalist framework to develop six Fast Sustainability Transitions (FST) scenarios: Greener growth (FST1), Greener inclusive growth (FST2), Survivalist capitalist economies (FST3), Greener South-led development (FST4), Sufficiency economies (FST5) and Gaia economies (FST6). These scenarios depict different pathways through which states approach ‘sustainability’, emphasizing reductions in the world economy's scale and shifts toward post-growth and/or ecocentric societies. The scenarios underscore the necessity of structural changes in the global politico-economic system alongside technological advancements. While FST1-6 outline opportunities for fast societal transformation catalyzed through ‘Black Swans’, they also point to significant obstacles to timely transitions. To build bridges between policy research and technology-focused modelling we complement the storylines and associated policies with a proposal facilitating the introduction of the scenarios into quantitative models.

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来源期刊

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions Energy-Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

CiteScore

13.60

自引率

19.40%

发文量

审稿时长

56 days

期刊介绍： Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions serves as a platform for reporting studies on innovations and socio-economic transitions aimed at fostering an environmentally sustainable economy, thereby addressing structural resource scarcity and environmental challenges, particularly those associated with fossil energy use and climate change. The journal focuses on various forms of innovation, including technological, organizational, economic, institutional, and political, as well as economy-wide and sectoral changes in areas such as energy, transport, agriculture, and water management. It endeavors to tackle complex questions concerning social, economic, behavioral-psychological, and political barriers and opportunities, along with their intricate interactions. With a multidisciplinary approach and methodological openness, the journal welcomes contributions from a wide array of disciplines within the social, environmental, and innovation sciences.