排队系统中的结构反馈和行为决策:一个混合仿真框架

IF 6 2区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Sergey Naumov , Rogelio Oliva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

传统的排队模型大多将人的判断和决策置于系统范围之外,忽略了他们作为系统性能决定因素的作用。然而,经验证据表明,人类行为可以在很大程度上改变系统的输出。在本文中,我们开发了一种混合方法,以提高我们对个体异质人类代理与总体系统行为之间相互作用的理解。我们将人类的行为反应表述为反馈控制过程,明确地捕获代理的目标和关于系统状态的可用信息,考虑延迟和可能的扭曲。我们的建模方法利用了一种重视现实主义和代表性的行为建模传统,使公式灵活且易于适应特定情况。我们通过考虑一个具有延迟通知的排队系统来说明我们的方法,通常在服务和制造设置中发现。我们发现,系统在低利用率和高利用率之间不断循环,创造了一个次优模式,具有可预测的高拥塞和低拥塞时期,总体上服务的客户较少。通过将行为反应的效果构建为反馈循环,我们正式分析了观察到的系统行为并将其映射到行为决策。提出的建模和分析框架可以指导系统设计,并在关键动力学由反馈结构和随机性驱动的情况下提高系统性能。它为排队系统中人类行为的影响提供了一般化的结构解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Structural feedback and behavioral decision making in queuing systems: A hybrid simulation framework
Traditional queuing models mostly leave human judgment and decision making outside the scope of the system, ignoring their role as determinants of system performance. However, empirical evidence has shown that human behavior can substantially alter the system’s output. In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach that improves our understanding of the interplay between individual heterogeneous human agents and aggregate system behavior. We formulate human behavioral responses as feedback control processes, explicitly capturing the agent’s objectives and available information about the system’s state, accounting for delays and possible distortions. Our modeling approach taps into a behavioral modeling tradition that values realism and representativeness, making the formulations flexible and easily adaptable to specific situations. We illustrate our approach by considering a queuing system with delay announcement, commonly found in service and manufacturing settings. We find that the system continuously cycles between periods of low and high utilization, creating a suboptimal mode with predictable periods of high and low congestion and fewer customers served overall. By structuring the effect of behavioral responses as feedback loops, we formally analyze the observed system behavior and map it to behavioral decisions. The proposed modeling and analysis framework can guide system design and improve performance in scenarios where key dynamics are driven by both feedback structure and stochasticity. It provides generalizable structural explanations of the impact of human behavior in queuing systems.
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来源期刊
European Journal of Operational Research
European Journal of Operational Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
9.40%
发文量
786
审稿时长
8.2 months
期刊介绍: The European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) publishes high quality, original papers that contribute to the methodology of operational research (OR) and to the practice of decision making.
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