预防全球饥荒的抗灾粮食:应对包括核冬天和基础设施崩溃在内的全球灾难性粮食冲击的粮食供应干预措施综述。

IF 7.3 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Juan B García Martínez, Jeffray Behr, Joshua Pearce, David Denkenberger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人类社会赖以生存的粮食系统所面临的全球性灾难性威胁数不胜数。核战争或火山爆发可能会抑制作物生长,从而导致农业减产。核电磁脉冲或极端流行病可能会以前所未有的程度扰乱工业和大规模粮食供应。全球粮食储备有限。我们能做些什么?本文介绍了在这些情况下维持粮食生产的干预措施的现状,旨在防止大规模饥饿,减少文明崩溃和潜在生存灾难的机会。对陆地、水和工业系统上的粮食生产方法组合进行了快速扩展、可负担性和大规模部署的潜力审查。特别侧重于提出进一步研究和技术发展的途径,并整理政策建议。维持国际贸易和优先种植粮食作物而不是动物饲料或生物燃料是至关重要的。既有成熟的、经过验证的方法(作物迁移、植物残渣和草饲反刍动物、温室、海藻、渔业等),也有新的弹性食物。概述了未来的研究议程,包括情景描述、政策制定、生产提升和经济分析以及快速部署试验。各国政府可以实施国家计划和工作组,以应对极端的粮食系统风险,并投资于有韧性的粮食解决方案,以保护公民免受全球灾难性粮食短缺的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Resilient foods for preventing global famine: a review of food supply interventions for global catastrophic food shocks including nuclear winter and infrastructure collapse.

Global catastrophic threats to the food system upon which human society depends are numerous. A nuclear war or volcanic eruption could collapse agricultural yields by inhibiting crop growth. Nuclear electromagnetic pulses or extreme pandemics could disrupt industry and mass-scale food supply by unprecedented levels. Global food storage is limited. What can be done?. This article presents the state of the field on interventions to maintain food production in these scenarios, aiming to prevent mass starvation and reduce the chance of civilizational collapse and potential existential catastrophe. The potential for rapid scaling, affordability, and large-scale deployment is reviewed for a portfolio of food production methods over land, water, and industrial systems. Special focus is given to proposing avenues for further research and technology development and to collating policy proposals. Maintaining international trade and prioritizing crops for food instead of animal feed or biofuels is paramount. Both mature, proven methods (crop relocation, plant-residue- and grass-fed ruminants, greenhouses, seaweed, fishing, etc.) and novel resilient foods are characterized. A future research agenda is outlined, including scenario characterization, policy development, production ramp-up and economic analyses, and rapid deployment trials. Governments could implement national plans and task forces to address extreme food system risks, and invest in resilient food solutions to safeguard citizens against global catastrophic food failure.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
22.60
自引率
4.90%
发文量
600
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: Critical Reviews in Food Science and Nutrition serves as an authoritative outlet for critical perspectives on contemporary technology, food science, and human nutrition. With a specific focus on issues of national significance, particularly for food scientists, nutritionists, and health professionals, the journal delves into nutrition, functional foods, food safety, and food science and technology. Research areas span diverse topics such as diet and disease, antioxidants, allergenicity, microbiological concerns, flavor chemistry, nutrient roles and bioavailability, pesticides, toxic chemicals and regulation, risk assessment, food safety, and emerging food products, ingredients, and technologies.
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