Marzia Ahmed , Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Md. Maruf Hassan , Md. Atikur Rahaman , Mohammad Bin Amin
{"title":"利用优化最小二乘支持向量机对某配电公司日分配能耗进行预测","authors":"Marzia Ahmed , Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Md. Maruf Hassan , Md. Atikur Rahaman , Mohammad Bin Amin","doi":"10.1016/j.rico.2025.100518","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (<span><math><mi>γ</mi></math></span>) and the kernel parameter (<span><math><msup><mrow><mi>σ</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math></span>), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":34733,"journal":{"name":"Results in Control and Optimization","volume":"18 ","pages":"Article 100518"},"PeriodicalIF":3.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine\",\"authors\":\"Marzia Ahmed , Mohd Herwan Sulaiman , Md. Maruf Hassan , Md. Atikur Rahaman , Mohammad Bin Amin\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.rico.2025.100518\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (<span><math><mi>γ</mi></math></span>) and the kernel parameter (<span><math><msup><mrow><mi>σ</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msup></math></span>), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":34733,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Results in Control and Optimization\",\"volume\":\"18 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100518\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Results in Control and Optimization\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720725000049\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Results in Control and Optimization","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720725000049","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine
Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter () and the kernel parameter (), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.