通过数字经济和自然资源管理促进bb100国家的可持续发展

IF 10.1 1区社会学 Q1 SOCIAL ISSUES

Technology in Society Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI:10.1016/j.techsoc.2025.102812

Jianping Yu , Shoukat Iqbal Khattak , Manzoor Ahmad

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了1990年至2020年“一带一路”倡议成员国数字经济和自然资源对绿色增长的周期性影响，解决了理解这些因素如何在经济周期中相互作用的关键空白。虽然之前的研究考察了数字经济和资源利用对可持续发展的作用，但对其周期性影响的关注有限，特别是在参与“一带一路”的发展中经济体的背景下。基于对平衡经济增长与环境可持续性的循证政策的迫切需求，本研究考虑了财政政策、创新、金融发展和劳动力动态的调节作用，探讨了数字经济和自然资源如何在扩张和收缩期间影响绿色增长。本文利用增广均值群估计分析了关键变量之间的周期关系。采用Hodrick-Prescott滤波器来分离商业周期中数字经济和自然资源的正负波动。结果表明，数字经济（0.362）和自然资源（0.456）在经济扩张过程中显著促进绿色增长。相反，这些因素在经济衰退期间对绿色增长产生负面影响，其影响分别为- 0.263和- 0.328。扩张性财政政策（0.318）、生态创新（0.109）、金融发展（0.246）、劳动力（0.560）和固定资本形成总额（0.306）等调节变量对绿色增长有正向影响。然而，紧缩的财政政策（- 0.495）产生了显著的不利影响。政策制定者应优先推进绿色增长，重点关注数字经济、可持续资源管理和经济扩张期间的扩张性财政政策。在经济衰退期间，维持绿色增长需要审慎的资源管理和适应性强的财政政策。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Enhancing sustainable development through digital economy and natural resource management in one belt one road countries

This study investigates the cyclical effects of the digital economy and natural resources on green growth in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) member countries from 1990 to 2020, addressing a critical gap in understanding how these factors interact across economic cycles. While prior research has examined the role of the digital economy and resource utilization on sustainable development, limited attention has been given to their cyclical impacts, particularly in the context of developing economies participating in the BRI. Motivated by the pressing need for evidence-based policies that balance economic growth with environmental sustainability, this study explores how the digital economy and natural resources influence green growth during expansions and contractions, considering the moderating effects of fiscal policies, innovation, financial development, and labor dynamics. This research analyzes the cyclical relationships among key variables using the augmented mean group estimator. The Hodrick-Prescott filter is employed to disentangle the positive and negative fluctuations of the digital economy and natural resources during business cycles. The results reveal that the digital economy (0.362) and natural resources (0.456) significantly boost green growth during economic expansions. In contrast, these factors negatively affect green growth during recessions, with impacts of −0.263 and −0.328, respectively. Moderating variables such as expansionary fiscal policy (0.318), ecological innovation (0.109), financial development (0.246), labor force (0.560), and gross fixed capital formation (0.306) contribute positively to green growth. However, contractionary fiscal policy (−0.495) exerts a notable adverse influence. Policymakers should prioritize advancing green growth by focusing on the digital economy, sustainable resource management, and expansionary fiscal policies during economic expansions. Sustaining green growth necessitates prudent resource management and adaptable fiscal policies during periods of economic recession.

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来源期刊

Technology in Society Multiple-

CiteScore

17.90

自引率

14.10%

发文量

316

审稿时长

60 days

期刊介绍： Technology in Society is a global journal dedicated to fostering discourse at the crossroads of technological change and the social, economic, business, and philosophical transformation of our world. The journal aims to provide scholarly contributions that empower decision-makers to thoughtfully and intentionally navigate the decisions shaping this dynamic landscape. A common thread across these fields is the role of technology in society, influencing economic, political, and cultural dynamics. Scholarly work in Technology in Society delves into the social forces shaping technological decisions and the societal choices regarding technology use. This encompasses scholarly and theoretical approaches (history and philosophy of science and technology, technology forecasting, economic growth, and policy, ethics), applied approaches (business innovation, technology management, legal and engineering), and developmental perspectives (technology transfer, technology assessment, and economic development). Detailed information about the journal's aims and scope on specific topics can be found in Technology in Society Briefings, accessible via our Special Issues and Article Collections.