智利工业太阳能热潜力:技术经济分析

Diego Naranjo, Francisco Fuentes, Iván Muñoz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文对智利工业过程太阳能集成(SHIP)的综合技术经济潜力进行了分析。该研究利用TRNSYS软件进行模拟,利用Python进行数据分析,评估了印度不同地区不同工业部门的热能平准化成本(LCoH)和太阳能比例。研究结果表明,科金博、安托法加斯塔和大都会等地区表现出较高的太阳能馏分和具有竞争力的LCoH值,特别是在热水生产方面。中央区,特别是大都市区,显示出巨大的蒸汽发电潜力,平均太阳能利用率达到50%,每年太阳能热能产量达到295吉瓦时。实际数据验证表明,平均误差范围为21%,强调了所开发的热负荷计算模型的可靠性。该研究的结论是,SHIP是智利降低能源成本和温室气体排放的可行解决方案。在被认为是生产部门,它有可能取代超过3500千兆瓦时/年的化石燃料能源。这些发现突出了通过有利的政策和投资支持SHIP实施的战略重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Industrial solar heat potential in Chile: A technical-economic analysis
This paper presents a comprehensive techno-economical potential analysis for integrating solar heat for industrial processes (SHIP) in Chile. Utilizing TRNSYS software for simulation and Python for data analysis, the study evaluates the levelized cost of heat (LCoH) and solar fraction for various industrial sectors across different regions of the country. The findings indicate that regions such as Coquimbo, Antofagasta, and Metropolitan exhibit high solar fractions and competitive LCoH values, particularly in hot water production. The central zone, especially the Metropolitan region, demonstrates significant potential for steam generation, achieving an average solar fraction of 50 % and producing 295 GWh/year of solar thermal energy. Validation with real-world data demonstrated an average error margin of 21 %, underscoring the developed heat load calculation model's reliability. The study concluded that SHIP is a viable solution for reducing energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions in Chile. It has the potential to displace over 3,500 GWh/year of fossil fuel energy in the considered productive sectors. These findings highlight the strategic importance of supporting SHIP implementation through favorable policies and investments.
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