Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi , Yazidhi Bamutaze , Isa Kabenge , Joshua Wanyama , Michael Kizza , Geoffrey Gabiri , Pascal Emanuel Egli
{"title":"变化环境下平稳和非平稳极端水文分析:系统综述","authors":"Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi , Yazidhi Bamutaze , Isa Kabenge , Joshua Wanyama , Michael Kizza , Geoffrey Gabiri , Pascal Emanuel Egli","doi":"10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.007","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100615,"journal":{"name":"HydroResearch","volume":"8 ","pages":"Pages 332-350"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review\",\"authors\":\"Maximo Basheija Twinomuhangi , Yazidhi Bamutaze , Isa Kabenge , Joshua Wanyama , Michael Kizza , Geoffrey Gabiri , Pascal Emanuel Egli\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.007\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":100615,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"HydroResearch\",\"volume\":\"8 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 332-350\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"HydroResearch\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000568\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"HydroResearch","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000568","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysis of stationary and non-stationary hydrological extremes under a changing environment: A systematic review
Research on hydrological extremes has increased due to their increasing frequency and destructive power, with their non-stationarity attributed to human activities and climate change. To understand current advances in analyzing extremes, a systematic review of online literature was conducted using PRISMA framework. The review covered several aspects of analysis considered in literature like time series types, non-stationarity detection techniques, frequency analysis (FA) category, probability distribution types, covariates used, parameter estimation and model selection techniques. Results indicate that AMS (71.7 %), Mann-Kendall non-stationarity detection test (70.8 %), GEV distribution (41.4 %), ML parameter estimation (34.6 %) and model selection AIC (30.0 %) were mostly applied. Non-stationary alongside stationary FA was carried out most (82 %) and non-stationary models outperformed the stationary ones. Time was used as a covariate in most studies (50.5 %) compared to anthropogenic (7.1 %), local-scale (11.4 %) and large-scale (31.0 %) climate covariates. Effective hydrological extremes management requires an understanding of their non-stationarity in a changing environment.