利用插值技术和深度学习算法预测未测量区域的径流

Vinay Mahakur , Vijay Kumar Mahakur , Sandeep Samantaray , Dillip K. Ghose
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界上大多数河流流域都没有测量过,只有少数几个被测量过。因此,对研究人员来说,预测未测量流域的径流是一个难题。这项研究考虑了热带季风区,该地区主要被山脉覆盖,气候不断变化。该研究还利用卷积神经网络(CNN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)相结合的机器学习技术创建了模型。混合模型大大提高了径流预测的精度,CNN-LSTM模型在许多数据集上的总体精度达到99.29%。这项研究使用了测量站25年的气象数据来计算四个未测量站点的径流预测:卡蒂戈拉、素杭、索奈和莫朗。这些发现强调了将机器学习和经典方法结合起来提高洪水预报技能的必要性,这对于洪水易发地区成功的水资源管理至关重要。这项新技术不仅填补了水文研究的重要真空,而且对世界范围内减轻巨灾风险的举措具有实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of runoff at ungauged areas employing interpolation techniques and deep learning algorithm
Most river basins across the world are ungauged, and just a handful are gauged. As a result, predicting runoff in an unmeasured watershed is a difficult problem for the researchers. This research takes into account the tropical monsoon region, which is primarily covered by mountains and has a changing climate. This research is also carried out by creating a model with a machine learning technique that comprises Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The hybrid model considerably improves runoff forecast accuracy, with the CNN-LSTM model reaching an overall accuracy of 99.29 % across many datasets. The study uses 25 years of meteorological data from gauged stations to calculate runoff predictions for four ungauged sites: Katigora, Subhang, Sonai, and Morang. The findings highlight the necessity of combining machine learning and classical approaches to improve flood forecasting skills, which are critical for successful water resource management in flood-prone areas. This novel technique not only fills a vital vacuum in hydrological research, but it also has practical implications for catastrophe risk mitigation initiatives worldwide.
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