{"title":"利用插值技术和深度学习算法预测未测量区域的径流","authors":"Vinay Mahakur , Vijay Kumar Mahakur , Sandeep Samantaray , Dillip K. Ghose","doi":"10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Most river basins across the world are ungauged, and just a handful are gauged. As a result, predicting runoff in an unmeasured watershed is a difficult problem for the researchers. This research takes into account the tropical monsoon region, which is primarily covered by mountains and has a changing climate. This research is also carried out by creating a model with a machine learning technique that comprises Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The hybrid model considerably improves runoff forecast accuracy, with the CNN-LSTM model reaching an overall accuracy of 99.29 % across many datasets. The study uses 25 years of meteorological data from gauged stations to calculate runoff predictions for four ungauged sites: Katigora, Subhang, Sonai, and Morang. The findings highlight the necessity of combining machine learning and classical approaches to improve flood forecasting skills, which are critical for successful water resource management in flood-prone areas. This novel technique not only fills a vital vacuum in hydrological research, but it also has practical implications for catastrophe risk mitigation initiatives worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100615,"journal":{"name":"HydroResearch","volume":"8 ","pages":"Pages 265-275"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of runoff at ungauged areas employing interpolation techniques and deep learning algorithm\",\"authors\":\"Vinay Mahakur , Vijay Kumar Mahakur , Sandeep Samantaray , Dillip K. Ghose\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.hydres.2024.12.001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Most river basins across the world are ungauged, and just a handful are gauged. As a result, predicting runoff in an unmeasured watershed is a difficult problem for the researchers. This research takes into account the tropical monsoon region, which is primarily covered by mountains and has a changing climate. This research is also carried out by creating a model with a machine learning technique that comprises Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The hybrid model considerably improves runoff forecast accuracy, with the CNN-LSTM model reaching an overall accuracy of 99.29 % across many datasets. The study uses 25 years of meteorological data from gauged stations to calculate runoff predictions for four ungauged sites: Katigora, Subhang, Sonai, and Morang. The findings highlight the necessity of combining machine learning and classical approaches to improve flood forecasting skills, which are critical for successful water resource management in flood-prone areas. This novel technique not only fills a vital vacuum in hydrological research, but it also has practical implications for catastrophe risk mitigation initiatives worldwide.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":100615,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"HydroResearch\",\"volume\":\"8 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 265-275\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"HydroResearch\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000507\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"HydroResearch","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589757824000507","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Prediction of runoff at ungauged areas employing interpolation techniques and deep learning algorithm
Most river basins across the world are ungauged, and just a handful are gauged. As a result, predicting runoff in an unmeasured watershed is a difficult problem for the researchers. This research takes into account the tropical monsoon region, which is primarily covered by mountains and has a changing climate. This research is also carried out by creating a model with a machine learning technique that comprises Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The hybrid model considerably improves runoff forecast accuracy, with the CNN-LSTM model reaching an overall accuracy of 99.29 % across many datasets. The study uses 25 years of meteorological data from gauged stations to calculate runoff predictions for four ungauged sites: Katigora, Subhang, Sonai, and Morang. The findings highlight the necessity of combining machine learning and classical approaches to improve flood forecasting skills, which are critical for successful water resource management in flood-prone areas. This novel technique not only fills a vital vacuum in hydrological research, but it also has practical implications for catastrophe risk mitigation initiatives worldwide.