从风险中撤退:保护主义时代的家庭股市参与

IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Jie Li , Wenchao Li
{"title":"从风险中撤退:保护主义时代的家庭股市参与","authors":"Jie Li ,&nbsp;Wenchao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107392","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the impact of the global trend towards trade protectionism on household stock market participation, focusing on the 2018–19 US-China trade war as an exogenous trade shock. We leverage cross-city variation in exposure to the trade war by combining industry-specific increases in US tariffs with variation in industry composition across cities. Using nationally representative household finance survey data collected around the trade war years, and a difference-in-differences design, results show that the onset of the trade war decreases the likelihood of households participating in the stock market and reduces the proportion of stocks in their portfolios. Further evidence reveals that these effects stem from the trade war's influence on decreasing household income, increasing income volatility, fostering risk aversion, and promoting negative views or beliefs about the economy. Our findings suggest that reduced stock market participation is a pathway through which trade protectionism affects the financial system and the economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"172 ","pages":"Article 107392"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Retreating from risks: Household stock market participation in a protectionist era\",\"authors\":\"Jie Li ,&nbsp;Wenchao Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107392\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We examine the impact of the global trend towards trade protectionism on household stock market participation, focusing on the 2018–19 US-China trade war as an exogenous trade shock. We leverage cross-city variation in exposure to the trade war by combining industry-specific increases in US tariffs with variation in industry composition across cities. Using nationally representative household finance survey data collected around the trade war years, and a difference-in-differences design, results show that the onset of the trade war decreases the likelihood of households participating in the stock market and reduces the proportion of stocks in their portfolios. Further evidence reveals that these effects stem from the trade war's influence on decreasing household income, increasing income volatility, fostering risk aversion, and promoting negative views or beliefs about the economy. Our findings suggest that reduced stock market participation is a pathway through which trade protectionism affects the financial system and the economy.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48460,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Banking & Finance\",\"volume\":\"172 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107392\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-01-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Banking & Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426625000135\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Banking & Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426625000135","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了全球贸易保护主义趋势对家庭股票市场参与的影响,重点关注2018-19年中美贸易战作为外生贸易冲击。我们通过将美国特定行业关税的增加与城市间行业构成的差异结合起来,利用城市间对贸易战敞口的差异。利用在贸易战前后收集的具有全国代表性的家庭金融调查数据,并采用差异中的差异设计,结果表明,贸易战的爆发降低了家庭参与股票市场的可能性,降低了股票在其投资组合中的比例。进一步的证据表明,这些影响源于贸易战对家庭收入减少、收入波动加剧、风险厌恶情绪加剧以及对经济持负面看法或信念的影响。我们的研究结果表明,股票市场参与度的降低是贸易保护主义影响金融体系和经济的一个途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Retreating from risks: Household stock market participation in a protectionist era
We examine the impact of the global trend towards trade protectionism on household stock market participation, focusing on the 2018–19 US-China trade war as an exogenous trade shock. We leverage cross-city variation in exposure to the trade war by combining industry-specific increases in US tariffs with variation in industry composition across cities. Using nationally representative household finance survey data collected around the trade war years, and a difference-in-differences design, results show that the onset of the trade war decreases the likelihood of households participating in the stock market and reduces the proportion of stocks in their portfolios. Further evidence reveals that these effects stem from the trade war's influence on decreasing household income, increasing income volatility, fostering risk aversion, and promoting negative views or beliefs about the economy. Our findings suggest that reduced stock market participation is a pathway through which trade protectionism affects the financial system and the economy.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
5.40%
发文量
262
期刊介绍: The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信