Incidence trends and risk factors for Perthes' disease in children born between 1985 and 2016 : a Danish nationwide register-based study.

Aims: In this study, we aimed to evaluate incidence trends and potential risk factors associated with Perthes' disease in Denmark, using publicly available data.

Methods: Our population-based case-control study used data from the Danish National Patient Register and Danish Civil Registration System, accessed through the publicly available Danish Biobank Register, to identify 1,924,292 infants born between 1985 and 2016. We estimated age-specific incidence rates for four birth periods of equal duration (1985 to 1992, 1993 to 2000, 2001 to 2008, and 2009 to 2016) and investigated associations with perinatal conditions, congenital malformations, coagulation defects, autism spectrum disorders (ASD), and attention deficit hyperactivity disorders (ADHD).

Results: We identified 2,374 (81.6% male) diagnosed with Perthes' disease aged between two and 12 years, corresponding to an overall incidence of 12.1 per 100,000 live births relative to the year of birth. The incidence declined across all four birth periods, irrespective of sex or age at diagnosis. Several perinatal conditions were associated with higher Perthes' disease risk. Children with reported birth injuries (vs no reported injuries) exhibited the highest risk (relative risk (RR) 7.48 (95% CI 3.37 to 16.63)) followed by those with versus without coagulation defects (RR 4.77 (95% CI 1.79 to 12.69)). Children diagnosed with syndromic (RR 2.90 (95% CI 2.08 to 4.04)) or non-syndromic major congenital malformations (RR 1.86 (95% CI 1.55 to 2.23)) (vs those with no malformation diagnosis) were also associated with higher Perthes' disease risk. The development of Perthes' disease was positively associated with several ASD and ADHD diagnoses. However, once adjusting for the sex of the child and period of birth, the associations with ASD and ADHD were no longer significant.

Conclusion: Using publicly available data, we observed a declining incidence of Perthes' disease in Denmark over a 32-year study period. Our findings also confirm positive associations between Perthes' disease and various perinatal conditions, coagulation defects, and congenital malformations, highlighting potential aetiological pathways for further investigation.