优化航运网络对气候脆弱性的抵御能力。

IF 3.7 3区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION
Maritime Policy & Management Pub Date : 2022-07-06 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1080/03088839.2022.2094488
Mark Ching-Pong Poo, Zaili Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

极端气候正在威胁交通基础设施,因此需要新的方法来解决其脆弱性并提高其复原力。然而,现有的研究尚未系统地检查气候对交通网络的影响,而不是在组成层面上独立评估基础设施。因此,从系统的角度配置替代航线以减少气候脆弱性并优化整个航运网络的恢复能力至关重要。本文旨在通过结合气候风险指标、中心性分析和船舶路线优化的方法,评估以气候适应能力为重点的全球航运网络。该方法旨在对当前和未来情景的气候脆弱性进行概述,以便进行比较。首先,多中心评估定义了全球航运枢纽和网络漏洞。其次,在第一步气候脆弱性分析结果的基础上,考虑气候变化(如极端天气)造成的港口中断天数,建立港口间最优航线的航运模型。它有助于建立一个结合全球和地方海港气候脆弱性的新框架。此外,报告建议根据极端天气造成的可预见的港口中断增加来改变航线,以适应气候变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimising the resilience of shipping networks to climate vulnerability.

Climate extremes are threatening transportation infrastructures and hence require new methods to address their vulnerability and improve their resilience. However, existing studies have yet to examine the climate impacts on transportation networks systematically rather than independently assessing the infrastructures at a component level. Therefore, it is crucial to configure alternative shipping routes from a systematic perspective to reduce climate vulnerabilities and optimise the resilience of the whole shipping network. This paper aims to assess the global shipping network focusing on climate resilience by a methodology that combines climate risk indicators, centrality analysis and ship routing optimisation. The methodology is designed for overviewing the climate vulnerability of the current and future scenarios for comparison. First, a multi-centrality assessment defines the global shipping hubs and network vulnerabilities. Secondly, a shipping model is built for finding the optimal shipping route between ports, considering the port disruption days caused by climate change (e.g. extreme weather) based on the climate vulnerability analysis result from the first step. It contributes to a new framework combining the global and local seaport climate vulnerabilities. Furthermore, it recommends changing shipping routes by a foreseeable increase in port disruptions caused by extreme weather for climate adaptation.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
8.60%
发文量
66
期刊介绍: Thirty years ago maritime management decisions were taken on the basis of experience and hunch. Today, the experience is augmented by expert analysis and informed by research findings. Maritime Policy & Management provides the latest findings and analyses, and the opportunity for exchanging views through its Comment Section. A multi-disciplinary and international refereed journal, it brings together papers on the different topics that concern the maritime industry. Emphasis is placed on business, organizational, economic, sociolegal and management topics at port, community, shipping company and shipboard levels. The Journal also provides details of conferences and book reviews.
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