Diagnostic accuracy of Agile-4 score for liver cirrhosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. A systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy studies.

Aims: A novel noninvasive score, Agile-4 score, combining liver stiffness measurements, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, diabetes status and sex has been developed for the identification of cirrhosis in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We assessed the performance of Agile-4 for ruling-in/out liver cirrhosis in MASLD patients.

Materials and methods: We searched Medline, Cochrane library, Web of science, Scopus and Echosens website up to May 2024. Eligible studies assessed the accuracy of Agile-4 for ruling-in (≥0.565) and ruling-out (<0.251) liver cirrhosis, using biopsy as the reference standard, at predefined thresholds. We calculated pooled sensitivity and specificity estimates for both Agile-4 thresholds alongside 95% confidence intervals following bivariate random-effect models. We assessed the risk of bias using Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool.

Results: We included seven studies with 6037 participants. An Agile-4 score ≥0.565 yielded a pooled specificity of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86-0.97). Similarly, an Agile-4 score <0.251 excluded cirrhosis with a summary sensitivity of 0.90 (0.80-0.95). Assuming a cirrhosis prevalence of 30%, the positive predictive value (PPV) for ruling-in cirrhosis was 80%, while the negative predictive value for ruling-out cirrhosis was 95%. Most studies were at high or unclear risk for bias due to concerns regarding patient selection and the blinding status of Agile-4 score interpretation in relation to biopsy results.

Conclusions: Agile-4 score performs well for ruling-in/out liver cirrhosis in MASLD patients. Owing to the relatively low PPV, sequential application of the Agile-4 after fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) testing might further enhance its performance.