Thorsten V. Koeppl, Jeremy M. Kronick, James McNeil
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Using functional shocks to assess conventional and unconventional monetary policy in Canada
We develop a new series of Canadian monetary policy shocks for the time period 1986 to 2023. Our shocks are constructed as the daily change in the Nelson–Siegel yield curve factors on days of monetary policy events such as announcements of the short-run policy rate and speeches by Bank of Canada officials. This allows us to look at both conventional and unconventional monetary policy. We find that tighter monetary policy lowers inflation and GDP. Monetary policy shocks, however, often twist the yield curve, potentially offsetting changes in the short-run policy rate. Finally, speeches also tend to move the yield curve with similar effects on inflation and GDP as formal policy announcements.
期刊介绍:
The Canadian Journal of Economics (CJE) is the journal of the Canadian Economics Association (CEA) and is the primary academic economics journal based in Canada. The editors seek to maintain and enhance the position of the CJE as a major, internationally recognized journal and are very receptive to high-quality papers on any economics topic from any source. In addition, the editors recognize the Journal"s role as an important outlet for high-quality empirical papers about the Canadian economy and about Canadian policy issues.