Exposure–response modeling of liver fat imaging endpoints in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease populations administered ervogastat alone and co-administered with clesacostat

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis describe a collection of liver conditions characterized by the accumulation of liver fat. Despite biopsy being the reference standard for determining the severity of disease, non-invasive measures such as magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) and FibroScan® controlled attenuation parameter (CAP™) can be used to understand longitudinal changes in steatosis. The aim of this work was to describe the exposure–response relationship of ervogastat with or without clesacostat on steatosis, through population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modeling of both liver fat measurements simultaneously. Population pharmacokinetic and exposure–response models using individual predictions of average concentrations were used to describe ervogastat/clesacostat PKPD. Due to both liver fat endpoints being continuous-bounded outcomes on different scales, a dynamic transform-both-sides approach was used to link a common latent factor representing liver fat to each endpoint. Simultaneous modeling of both MRI-PDFF and CAP™ was successful with both measurements being adequately described by the model. The clinical trial simulation was able to adequately predict the results of a recent Phase 2 study, where subjects given ervogastat/clesacostat 300/10 mg BID for 6 weeks had a LS means and model-predicted median (95% confidence intervals) percent change from baseline MRI-PDFF of −45.8% and −45.6% (−61.6% to −31.8%), respectively. Simultaneous modeling of both MRI-PDFF and CAP™ was successful with both measurements being adequately described. By describing the underlying changes of steatosis with a latent variable, this model may be extended to describe biopsy results from future studies.