Prediction of the early hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection using gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging.

Background: Non-hypervascular hypointense nodules (NHHNs) can transform into hypervascular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during the long-term follow-up. However, the risk factors for NHHN hypervascular transformation in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected populations are unknown. This study assessed the predictive value of gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for HCC development in patients with chronic HBV infection.

Methods: A total of 86 patients with HBV infection who underwent gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI at the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between January 2011 and July 2019 and were followed up for 2 years were retrospectively reviewed. Imaging features, including cirrhosis, steatosis, and NHHNs, were collected. Radiomics features were extracted from the entire liver. The HCC development predictive models were built based on each patient's clinical data, MRI features, and radiomic features. We then collected the qualitative and quantitative features of each NHHN and investigated the risk factors of hypervascular transformation.

Results: Thirteen patients developed HCC within two years. The risk factors for HCC development in patients with chronic HBV infection included older age, cirrhosis, and NHHNs. The MRI, radiomics, and integrated models developed all had an area under the curve (AUC) above 0.8. The potential risk factors for hypervascular transformation of NHHNs were the diameter of the NHHN (OR = 1.69, 95% CI:1.23, 2.32, P = 0.001) and the signal intensity (SI) ratio of the NHHN to the liver in the hepatobiliary phase (HBP SI ratio*10, OR = 0.36, 95% CI:0.11, 0.85, P = 0.044). The AUC of the hypervascular transformation model was 0.846 (95% CI:0.719, 0.972).

Conclusion: In chronic HBV infection population, patients with older age, cirrhosis and NHHNs are more likely to develop HCC within two years. Models based on these factors or radiomic features can effectively predict HCC development. The diameter of the NHHNs and the signal intensity ratio of NHHN to the liver in the hepatobiliary phase are potential risk factors for the hypervascular transformation of NHHNs.