{"title":"SARO-MB3-BiGRU:大数据背景下的短期交通流预测新模型","authors":"Haoxu Wang, Zhiwen Wang, Long Li, Kangkang Yang, Jingxiao Zeng, Yibin Zhao, Jindou Zhang","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12553","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>In order to further improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow prediction on designated sections of highways, a combined prediction model is designed in this paper to predict the traffic flow on designated sections of highways. Firstly, for the shortcomings of artificial rabbits optimization (ARO) algorithm, sine cosine ARO (SARO) is proposed by incorporating sine cosine algorithm (SCA) idea into ARO, and introducing the non-linear sinusoidal learning factor. Secondly, three mobile inverted bottleneck convolution (MBConv) modules are utilized to form the MB3 module, and with BiGRU are utilized to form the MB3-BiGRU combined prediction model. Finally, the MB3-BiGRU model is optimized by SARO to achieve short-term prediction of traffic flow. The analysis results show that using the United Kingdom highway dataset as the data source, the SARO-MB3-BiGRU presented in this paper reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) by 32.58%, the mean absolute error (MAE) by 30.25%, and the decision coefficient (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>) reaches 0.96729, as compared to BiGRU. Compared with other common models and algorithms, the SARO has good solving capabilities and versatility, and the SARO-MB3-BiGRU model has been greatly improved in terms of prediction accuracy and generalization ability, which has better prediction ability and engineering reference value.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":"18 11","pages":"2097-2113"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12553","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"SARO-MB3-BiGRU: A novel model for short-term traffic flow forecasting in the context of big data\",\"authors\":\"Haoxu Wang, Zhiwen Wang, Long Li, Kangkang Yang, Jingxiao Zeng, Yibin Zhao, Jindou Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1049/itr2.12553\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>In order to further improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow prediction on designated sections of highways, a combined prediction model is designed in this paper to predict the traffic flow on designated sections of highways. Firstly, for the shortcomings of artificial rabbits optimization (ARO) algorithm, sine cosine ARO (SARO) is proposed by incorporating sine cosine algorithm (SCA) idea into ARO, and introducing the non-linear sinusoidal learning factor. Secondly, three mobile inverted bottleneck convolution (MBConv) modules are utilized to form the MB3 module, and with BiGRU are utilized to form the MB3-BiGRU combined prediction model. Finally, the MB3-BiGRU model is optimized by SARO to achieve short-term prediction of traffic flow. The analysis results show that using the United Kingdom highway dataset as the data source, the SARO-MB3-BiGRU presented in this paper reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) by 32.58%, the mean absolute error (MAE) by 30.25%, and the decision coefficient (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>) reaches 0.96729, as compared to BiGRU. Compared with other common models and algorithms, the SARO has good solving capabilities and versatility, and the SARO-MB3-BiGRU model has been greatly improved in terms of prediction accuracy and generalization ability, which has better prediction ability and engineering reference value.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50381,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IET Intelligent Transport Systems\",\"volume\":\"18 11\",\"pages\":\"2097-2113\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12553\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IET Intelligent Transport Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1049/itr2.12553\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1049/itr2.12553","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC","Score":null,"Total":0}
SARO-MB3-BiGRU: A novel model for short-term traffic flow forecasting in the context of big data
In order to further improve the accuracy of short-term traffic flow prediction on designated sections of highways, a combined prediction model is designed in this paper to predict the traffic flow on designated sections of highways. Firstly, for the shortcomings of artificial rabbits optimization (ARO) algorithm, sine cosine ARO (SARO) is proposed by incorporating sine cosine algorithm (SCA) idea into ARO, and introducing the non-linear sinusoidal learning factor. Secondly, three mobile inverted bottleneck convolution (MBConv) modules are utilized to form the MB3 module, and with BiGRU are utilized to form the MB3-BiGRU combined prediction model. Finally, the MB3-BiGRU model is optimized by SARO to achieve short-term prediction of traffic flow. The analysis results show that using the United Kingdom highway dataset as the data source, the SARO-MB3-BiGRU presented in this paper reduces the root mean squared error (RMSE) by 32.58%, the mean absolute error (MAE) by 30.25%, and the decision coefficient (R2) reaches 0.96729, as compared to BiGRU. Compared with other common models and algorithms, the SARO has good solving capabilities and versatility, and the SARO-MB3-BiGRU model has been greatly improved in terms of prediction accuracy and generalization ability, which has better prediction ability and engineering reference value.
期刊介绍:
IET Intelligent Transport Systems is an interdisciplinary journal devoted to research into the practical applications of ITS and infrastructures. The scope of the journal includes the following:
Sustainable traffic solutions
Deployments with enabling technologies
Pervasive monitoring
Applications; demonstrations and evaluation
Economic and behavioural analyses of ITS services and scenario
Data Integration and analytics
Information collection and processing; image processing applications in ITS
ITS aspects of electric vehicles
Autonomous vehicles; connected vehicle systems;
In-vehicle ITS, safety and vulnerable road user aspects
Mobility as a service systems
Traffic management and control
Public transport systems technologies
Fleet and public transport logistics
Emergency and incident management
Demand management and electronic payment systems
Traffic related air pollution management
Policy and institutional issues
Interoperability, standards and architectures
Funding scenarios
Enforcement
Human machine interaction
Education, training and outreach
Current Special Issue Call for papers:
Intelligent Transportation Systems in Smart Cities for Sustainable Environment - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_ITSSCSE.pdf
Sustainably Intelligent Mobility (SIM) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_SIM.pdf
Traffic Theory and Modelling in the Era of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (in collaboration with World Congress for Transport Research, WCTR 2019) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_WCTR.pdf