Evaluating potential program cost savings with a single-dose HPV vaccination schedule: a modeling study.

Background: There is limited evidence on the magnitude of the potential program cost savings associated with the World Health Organization-endorsed single-dose schedule for the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine. The objective of this analysis was to model the delivery and vaccine procurement cost implications of the new schedule.

Methods: The analysis leveraged primary data during a study evaluating the HPV vaccine delivery costs and operational context in 5 countries (Ethiopia, Guyana, Rwanda, Sri Lanka, and Uganda) implementing a two-dose schedule. To estimate the cost for the single-dose schedule, we adjusted the two-dose schedule cost estimates to account for differences in the frequency of activities, whether activities differed by HPV vaccine dose or session, and differences in relative quantity or storage volume of HPV vaccines delivered. We estimated the cost per dose and cost per adolescent receiving the full (single-dose or two-dose) vaccination schedule in 2019 US dollars from a health system perspective.

Results: Modeled results found that cost per dose would increase under a single-dose schedule, whereas cost per adolescent receiving the full schedule would decrease. The financial cost for vaccine procurement and delivery per adolescent receiving the full schedule ranged from $9.64 (Sri Lanka) to $23.43 (Guyana) under a two-dose schedule and decreased to $4.84 and $12.34, respectively, under a single-dose schedule, reflecting savings up to 50%. For economic costs, the range for a single-dose schedule was $7.86 (Rwanda) to $28.53 (Guyana).

Conclusion: A single-dose HPV vaccination schedule could provide cost savings to immunization programs and enhance program affordability and sustainability.