Ning Zhang , Wei Zhong , Xiaojie Lin , Liuliu Du-Ikonen , Tianyue Qiu
{"title":"混合建模及其在区域供热系统建筑负荷预测中的可移植性研究","authors":"Ning Zhang , Wei Zhong , Xiaojie Lin , Liuliu Du-Ikonen , Tianyue Qiu","doi":"10.1016/j.engappai.2024.109544","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the district heating systems, the historical operation data of the buildings in those areas would be partially or entirely missing. The traditional data-driven model is hard to predict the ground truth results because the historical data is not available for model training. However, utilizing the physics-based methods for load calculation takes a long time to process and encounters low accuracy issues. This paper investigates several hybrid models that integrate the data-driven model and the physics-based models with different fusion methods. The physics-based models calculate envelope load and infiltration load, based on Fourier's law and the grand canonical ensemble theory, respectively. After undergoing load processing, features fusion, and residual connection, the best advanced hybrid models generate 21.35%, 16.35%, and 12.73% better prediction results compared with the data-driven model. Moreover, the advanced hybride models also perform strong transferability across all the data quantity groups. In terms of practical application, the advanced hybrid models could be deployed with effective generalization in limited data scenarios and robust transfer capabilities. The selected best model constructed by hybrid modeling displays the highest performance and saves the total training costs with strong transferability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50523,"journal":{"name":"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Investigation of hybrid modeling and its transferability in building load prediction used for district heating systems\",\"authors\":\"Ning Zhang , Wei Zhong , Xiaojie Lin , Liuliu Du-Ikonen , Tianyue Qiu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.engappai.2024.109544\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>In the district heating systems, the historical operation data of the buildings in those areas would be partially or entirely missing. The traditional data-driven model is hard to predict the ground truth results because the historical data is not available for model training. However, utilizing the physics-based methods for load calculation takes a long time to process and encounters low accuracy issues. This paper investigates several hybrid models that integrate the data-driven model and the physics-based models with different fusion methods. The physics-based models calculate envelope load and infiltration load, based on Fourier's law and the grand canonical ensemble theory, respectively. After undergoing load processing, features fusion, and residual connection, the best advanced hybrid models generate 21.35%, 16.35%, and 12.73% better prediction results compared with the data-driven model. Moreover, the advanced hybride models also perform strong transferability across all the data quantity groups. In terms of practical application, the advanced hybrid models could be deployed with effective generalization in limited data scenarios and robust transfer capabilities. The selected best model constructed by hybrid modeling displays the highest performance and saves the total training costs with strong transferability.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50523,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0952197624017020\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0952197624017020","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Investigation of hybrid modeling and its transferability in building load prediction used for district heating systems
In the district heating systems, the historical operation data of the buildings in those areas would be partially or entirely missing. The traditional data-driven model is hard to predict the ground truth results because the historical data is not available for model training. However, utilizing the physics-based methods for load calculation takes a long time to process and encounters low accuracy issues. This paper investigates several hybrid models that integrate the data-driven model and the physics-based models with different fusion methods. The physics-based models calculate envelope load and infiltration load, based on Fourier's law and the grand canonical ensemble theory, respectively. After undergoing load processing, features fusion, and residual connection, the best advanced hybrid models generate 21.35%, 16.35%, and 12.73% better prediction results compared with the data-driven model. Moreover, the advanced hybride models also perform strong transferability across all the data quantity groups. In terms of practical application, the advanced hybrid models could be deployed with effective generalization in limited data scenarios and robust transfer capabilities. The selected best model constructed by hybrid modeling displays the highest performance and saves the total training costs with strong transferability.
期刊介绍:
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is pivotal in driving the fourth industrial revolution, witnessing remarkable advancements across various machine learning methodologies. AI techniques have become indispensable tools for practicing engineers, enabling them to tackle previously insurmountable challenges. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence serves as a global platform for the swift dissemination of research elucidating the practical application of AI methods across all engineering disciplines. Submitted papers are expected to present novel aspects of AI utilized in real-world engineering applications, validated using publicly available datasets to ensure the replicability of research outcomes. Join us in exploring the transformative potential of AI in engineering.