Cost-utility analysis of once-weekly insulin icodec and once-daily insulin glargine in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving basal-bolus insulin therapy in China

Objective

The purpose of this study is to explore the rational pricing range for the once-weekly administration of insulin icodec in the treatment of type 2 diabetes patients in China who have already received basal insulin therapy.

Methods

The data foundation of this study originates from the ONWARDS 4 clinical trial and research materials on Chinese type 2 diabetes patients. By comprehensively applying cost-utility analysis methods and binary search techniques, the appropriate price positioning of insulin icodec was determined from the perspective of China's healthcare system.

Results

In the long-term treatment simulation, we found that insulin icodec and insulin glargine performed similarly in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), with 10.15 and 10.07 years, respectively. Although the annual cost of insulin icodec was initially assumed to be equivalent to that of insulin glargine, in-depth analysis revealed that insulin icodec may have higher cost-effectiveness potential. Further price sensitivity analysis indicated that the reasonable cost range of insulin icodec lies between $851.95 and $1358.25. After fine-tuning through univariate sensitivity analysis, this cost range was revised to $784.90 to $1145.96, a conclusion that was robustly validated in subsequent probabilistic sensitivity analysis and scenario simulations.

Conclusion

The conclusion drawn from this study is that, with insulin glargine as the cost reference, the economic cost of insulin icodec for Chinese type 2 diabetes patients is expected to range from $784.90 to $1145.96, providing a reference basis for clinical decision-making and healthcare policy formulation.